Super Bowl Futures Picks For Week 10: Green Bay Showing Value At 26/1
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Super Bowl Futures Picks For Week 10: Green Bay Showing Value At 26/1

Kody Malstrom offers up another trio of Super Bowl futures picks to add to our portfolio for the 2027 Big Game.

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Past the halfway point of the regular season, the race for the playoffs has started to heat up, giving us a clearer picture of which teams are capable of making a run to the title. In this week’s edition of our Super Bowl futures picks portfolio, we turn our attention toward an emerging contender shaking up the field while the NFC West potentially cannibalizes itself.

Super Bowl Futures Picks for Week 10

As a reminder, the goal of this biweekly column is to build a portfolio that will return a profit no matter which team hoists the Lombardi Trophy.

Green Bay Packers (+2600, DraftKings)

After a slow start to the year, the Green Bay Packers have thrown their hat back in the ring while in possession of one of the three wild card spots. Not only has Green Bay started to get into a groove, but negative regression is looming large over the Los Angeles Rams, giving the Packers the edge they need to create some space in the conference standings.

While the lack of protection Jordan Love receives from the offensive line is still a major cause for concern, the Packers QB has been able to mask it with his high level of play through the air, entering Week 10 ranked ninth in EPA per play. If Green Bay can make a splash at the trade deadline, then the Packers will be able to reduce the amount of variance Love has to combat, elevating the offense even higher.

On the other side of the ball, the Packers have shockingly been efficient on the back end, ranking fifth in dropback EPA allowed per play. With the defense expected to improve when Micah Parsons is able to make his return from injury, the Packers will be a well-rounded unit, making them worth an investment before the odds continue to plummet.

Seattle Seahawks (+1700, Caesars)

The Rams' regression also benefits the Seattle Seahawks while the offense is currently searching for an identity, giving the reigning Super Bowl champions some much-needed cushion to iron out the kinks while trying to keep pace with the top of the conference.

While Sam Darnold was under center, the Seahawks were anemic, ranking in the bottom half of the board in DVOA. When Drew Lock took over in Week 9, the Seahawks backup QB was able to put together an efficient performance, climbing into the top-10 in QB EPA per play.

Fortunately for the Seahawks, the defense has still been dominant while ranking near the top of the board in DVOA and in success rate. If Darnold can round back into form to help complement the defense, then Seattle will have all the tools to make another run at the Super Bowl.

Jacksonville Jaguars (+900, Hard Rock Bet)

Since the start of the regular season, the Jacksonville Jaguars have built a strong case for being the best team in the league, leaping over the San Francisco 49ers for first in DVOA. Trevor Lawrence’s ascension has helped turn Jacksonville’s offense into a well-oiled machine, with the Jags QB ranking well above league average for the position in EPA, CPOE, and big-time throw percentage.

With Jacksonville possessing a favorable second half of the schedule, the Jags will have a great opportunity to remain in contention for the No. 1 seed in the AFC, which would give them a massive edge in the playoffs to help spark a run. Bet Jacksonville to win the Super Bowl at no lower than +800, and diversify your risk by placing a separate wager on the Jags to secure the No. 1 seed in the AFC as well.

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