NFL PLAYER PROPS
What are NFL Player Props? And how does this table work?
Player props, or proposition bets, are one of the easiest ways to get into sports betting, especially for those who may already have a background in playing fantasy sports. Instead of betting on the outcome of a given game, a player prop allows bettors to wager on whether or not a specific player will go over or under a certain threshold in a particular category in that game.
For a complete breakdown on prop bets, make sure to check out our prop betting primer. Not only does this article highlight everything you need to know about player props, but it also touches on game props, exotic/novelty props, and everything in between.
Player props are also a great way for new bettors to grow their bankroll. The limits on these bets are generally lower than they are for spreads and totals, so they don’t attract as much professional action. This in turn means that sportsbooks don’t necessarily have to be as precise with those lines, so there are typically multiple props that are exploitable in any given week.
The key to beating NFL player props is having access to a good set of projections. Fortunately, we have those covered here at Fantasy Life. Our projections team breaks down the number of yards, rushes, receptions, and touchdowns for each player on a weekly basis across every offensive skill position. Our player prop tool then takes those projections and compares them against player prop betting lines for each player across each of those categories on BetMGM.
How to use this table
The tool highlights the largest inefficiencies between our projections and the betting lines and shows which player props are providing the most betting value. Not every prop is guaranteed to win each week since projections aren’t infallible, but isolating those bets can and should lead to profitability in the long run.
Overall, our projections table highlights the most exploitable props each week in terms of passing yards, rushing yards, receiving yards, touchdowns, passing attempts, interceptions, carries, and receptions.
Betting lines generally change continually throughout the week leading up to kickoff, particularly when it comes to player props. These odds can shift drastically, so it’s important to make sure that the betting odds and player projections are always up to date. Fortunately, our numbers are never stale, as the Fantasy Life props table updates every 15 minutes during the NFL season so that bettors using our player prop tool can get the best edge possible.