ADP Risers and Fallers for Fantasy Football: Jacory Croskey-Merritt Trending Down

With OTAs in full swing, more and more NFL news is starting to trickle in, impacting draft spots for so many players in early best ball drafts. And as we enter the month of June, we’re only going to see more and more movement as more news hits the stands (cough, cough, A.J. Brown trade).

So, as we do every Monday, let’s check out some of the more notable ADP risers and fallers.

Fantasy Football ADP Risers

MarShawn Lloyd | RB | Green Bay Packers

ADP shift: Up 12.5 spots

Following the recent news surrounding Josh Jacobs, MarShawn Lloyd (and Chris Brooks) have both seen their ADP climb quite a bit over the past week. There’s still a ton of sudden uncertainty around Green Bay’s running back room, and if there is any chance Jacobs is suspended, the Packers will surely look around the league for help at the position. It’s understandable why Lloyd is one of the highest risers in fantasy, but it could easily be a trap.

Back in 2020, Lloyd tore his ACL and since entering the NFL, other injuries have kept him from seeing much of the field. Since being drafted, Lloyd has suffered hamstring, ankle, groin and calf injuries that have limited him to a single game since 2024. It’s unlikely the Packers rely on Lloyd for significant work if they are without Jacobs for any amount of time. What’s more likely? A veteran like James Conner or Alvin Kamara lead this backfield.

Greg Dulcich | TE | Miami Dolphins

ADP shift: Up 3.4 spots

I mean, someone has to catch passes for the Dolphins, right?

My colleague Joe Metz highlighted Dulcich as an OTA riser and although his ADP is climbing, he’s still being drafted as just the TE31 over on Underdog. There aren’t many tight ends in fantasy that can realistically lead their team in targets, and although Miami’s offense doesn’t project to score a ton of points, there’s still a ton of value in that volume. As a rookie in 2022, Greg Dulcich showed some promise, hauling in 33 passes for 411 yards and two scores in 10 games. During that stretch (Weeks 6-16), Dulcich was the TE15 in fantasy, logging 80% of the routes and sporting a 17% target share. Our fantasy football projections have Dulcich penciled in for 74 targets, just behind Malik Washington and De'Von Achane. But he could easily finish first, which means he should probably be drafted a lot higher than he currently is.

Fantasy Football ADP Fallers

Jacory Croskey-Merritt | RB | Washington Commanders

ADP shift: Down 3.8 spots

Bill’s ADP is falling as of now, but last summer, it was doing anything but.

As a rookie, Jacory Croskey-Merritt was efficient, ranking 10th among qualified rushers in rushing yards over expected per attempt (+0.8), 15th in yards per carry (4.6) and 23rd in runs of 10-plus yards (21). His fantasy ceiling was capped by the presence of Chris Rodriguez, but when he was sidelined, Croskey-Merritt was much more reliable, averaging 12.4 PPR points per game. And keep in mind, two of those games came with Austin Ekeler active and logging 52% of the snaps.

It’s unlikely Croskey-Merritt handles much, if any, of the work on passing downs. Between his inexperience in that department and Rachaad White’s extreme familiarity, don’t expect to see JCM on the field in many passing situations. This past season, Bill handled just 25% of the routes, 1% of the two-minute snaps and less than 6% of third downs. But Croskey-Merritt can make up for it if he assumes the short-yardage role that Rodriguez is leaving behind. From Week 11 on, Rodriguez accounted for 70% of short-down-and-distance snaps and 48% of the carries inside the 5.

Michael Wilson | WR | Arizona Cardinals

ADP shift: Down 2.8 spots

Michael Wilson enjoyed an unexpected third-year breakout last season, with most of his damage coming after the bye with Marvin Harrison Jr. sidelined. With MHJ on the field last season, Wilson was targeted on just under 13% of his routes, while sporting a 13.2% target share. However, when Harrison Jr. was off the field, Wilson was dominant, sporting a 27.7% target share and 28% TPRR, while averaging 13.6 targets, 9.2 catches, 119.6 yards and 26 PPR PPG in the five contests Harrison missed entirely.

While I do believe Wilson’s numbers were propped up by Harrison’s absence and absurd pass volume out of Arizona, that shouldn’t discredit what he did in his third NFL season. Wilson is a legitimately good player and is going to have a large role in this offense. However, Trey McBride is still going to lead this team in targets, while the Cardinals’ brutal schedule could make things difficult for this entire offense in 2026.