Best and Worst Sleeper Fantasy Football ADP Values: Derrick Henry, DeVonta Smith and More

Sleeper has created a few ADP inefficiencies that are too good—or too risky—to ignore.

The distinction is not whether these are good football players. They are. It’s about whether their Sleeper price properly accounts for the floor, workload, and uncertainty attached to each player.

Here are the best and worst players to draft in Sleeper leagues based on current fantasy football ADP.

Best Sleeper Fantasy Football ADP Values

Derrick Henry | RB | BAL (ADP: 24.6)

It is crazy to say, but Derrick Henry feels overlooked.

I understand the reservations. He is 32 years old. He has been an absolute workhorse throughout his career. He does not offer much in the receiving game, so there is a narrow path to a truly elite PPR finish.

But can we step back and acknowledge that Henry is an anomaly?

Last year, in his age-31 season, Henry eclipsed 1,500 rushing yards, scored 16 touchdowns and handled more than 300 carries. He has posted back-to-back 300-carry, 16-touchdown seasons in Baltimore while averaging 5.9 and 5.2 yards per carry, respectively. There has been no camp indication that he has slowed down, and new Ravens offensive coordinator Declan Doyle has said Henry will remain an “immense” part of the offense.

That is all I need to hear.

Henry is still Baltimore’s clear high-touchdown-equity option inside the money zone. Nobody would be shocked if he drops a three-touchdown bomb in any given week.

That is what makes Henry such a strong head-to-head asset. He may not catch passes, but he can single-handedly win you a matchup with massive touchdown-scoring upside.

At 24.6, Henry is a safe pick with an awesome weekly ceiling. I am in.

DeVonta Smith | WR | PHI (ADP: 44.9)

I cannot say I have always been the biggest DeVonta Smith truther. But 44.9 on Sleeper is simply too cheap.

That price is considerably lower than where Smith is going on competing platforms, and the early uncertainty around Makai Lemon only strengthens Smith’s case. Lemon has been slow out of the gate, and we do not yet know what his snap count or early integration into the offense will look like.

Even if Lemon is fully rolling by the second half, Smith has a path to an alpha-type season. The Eagles have a new offensive coordinator in Sean Mannion, and the new environment cannot be much worse than last year under Kevin Patullo.

Smith is currently projected as the WR13 in PPR, sitting in the range between A.J. Brown and Rashee Rice. At 44.9, that makes him a tremendous value. He has a legitimate top-12 ceiling, and this is one of the few spots where Sleeper lets you take that kind of swing without paying a premium. Also, our guy Matthew Berry made Smith his Ride-or-Die pick for 2026!

Worst Sleeper Fantasy Football ADP Values

TreVeyon Henderson | RB | NE (ADP: 47.8)

This is simply too steep.

At the 4-5 turn, I want an elite contributor or a player with a much clearer workload path. TreVeyon Henderson has juice, but Mike Vrabel loves his veterans, and camp reports suggest New England could open the year with a fairly similar split to last season between Henderson and Rhamondre Stevenson.

If we are looking at a 60/40 workload, Henderson is the kind of running back I would rather draft in the Round 7-to-8 range—not at 47.8. That is also his most expensive ADP across major platforms.

I can understand the case in best ball, where Henderson’s explosive plays create spike-week appeal. In traditional managed leagues, though, the risk is too high. You are paying for a breakout before we have proof that the backfield belongs to him.

Tyler Warren | TE | IND (ADP: 50.1)

Tyler Warren absolutely has league-winning upside. The problem is the price, particularly after the latest injury news.

Warren is expected to miss about a week, though his status for Week 1 against Baltimore is not believed to be in danger. That is encouraging, but it is still not what I want to hear from a tight end going at pick 50.1.

The position can thin out quickly—especially if more negative tight end injury news emerges—but I want more certainty at this stage of the draft. Warren has an exciting ceiling, but at 50.1 you are drafting close to his best-case outcome without complete validation that he will be fully healthy and ready to roll.

Like Henderson, it is mostly a risk call. I like the player. I am just out at that price.