
Fantasy Football Sell-Highs: D'Andre Swift & More Players To Trade Away In Week 9
Chris Allen breaks down a handful of players to sell in Week 9 of the fantasy football season.
In poker, the hardest move isn’t calling a big bet. It’s standing up from the table when you’re ahead. After a hot run, it feels like the cards will keep coming. But the longer I sit, the more chances the table has to win it back. Some of my best nights were the ones I walked away from early.
That’s the trap with fantasy breakouts. A player strings together a few big weeks, and we fall in love. We start projecting those numbers through December. But every week we hold, we’re betting the run won’t end. A role change, a returning teammate, or a tougher schedule can erase that value fast.
So, after spending the last two weeks buying, let’s flip to the other side of the table. Here are the players worth cashing out on while their stock is at its peak.
Players To Trade Away In Week 9 Fantasy Football
D’Andre Swift | Bears
The Bears' backfield started off the season as we expected. Swift was the lead back, with Kyle Monangai as the RB2. Well, more like 1B. The second-year rusher was up to 42% of the carries and 35% of the goal-line touches. With him out of the picture and Caleb Williams back, Swift has (unsurprisingly) thrived.

Now, to be fair, Swift has plowed through some of the toughest run defenses over the last three weeks (Seattle most notably). But two things to keep in mind as folks jockey for playoff positions. First, we should expect to see Monongai back after Chicago's Week 10 bye, reducing Swift's fantasy-friendly workload. Second, half of the Bears' four games coming out of the bye are against run defenses allowing 17 PPR PPG or fewer. Between the potential drop in touches and an uneven schedule, Swift should be on the trade block.
Nico Collins | Texans
Anyone rostering Nico Collins can attest to his current issue in fantasy. It’s evident as soon as you look at his usage.

Not only has Collins’ target share been below 20% in three straight games, but his downfield aDOT has led to fewer catchable targets. But even when OC Nick Caley switched things up and had Collins work in the short(er) area of the field, C.J. Stroud and Collins were still off the mark (40% on-target rate). However, there’s another aspect of Collins’ on-field deployment that has me considering trade offers.
- Week 4: 50.0% (Stroud MoF Passing Rate), 62.5% (MoF Target Rate)
- Week 5: 51.6%, 17.9%
- Week 6: 58.1%, 5.0%
- Week 7: 75.0%, 40.0%
Stroud, like any other efficient QB, uses the middle of the field to keep the offense on schedule. But just a third of Collins’ targets have come in this area of the field. He’s also at a 17.1% slot snap rate since returning from injury. Essentially, he doesn’t have the same easy buttons as the other Houston WRs. And even with Jaylin Noel out for the season, his absence likely benefits Marvin Harrison, not Collins.
Ashton Jeanty | Raiders
Honestly, I don't have a problem with Ashton Jeanty earning fewer carries. He was inefficient with his totes anyway. Besides, it's not like Mike Washington completely outshone Jeanty as a runner. The rookie RB took 86% of the goal-line touches and still wound up with just 8.3 PPR points on the day. Meanwhile, Jeanty racked up more points as a receiver. That'd be my leverage point if I wanted to move on from the Raiders' (pseudo) RB1.

Jeanty doesn't have a game with a target share under 10%. In fact, of the 39 RBs to play more than 150 snaps, his 26% TPRR ranks third. He's one of three RBs with a target rate over 15%. Luckily, he's facing a 49ers defense allowing the most YPG to opposing RBs. But the fun stops soon after.
The Raiders play Denver in two of their next six games. The last RB to score a rushing TD against them was George Holani in Week 6. Kenneth Walker is the only 100-yard rusher against the Broncos. And matchups against Cleveland (31st in receiving yards allowed to RBs) and the Chargers (26th) don't look any better. Even if Jeanty retakes the RB1 role, the run blocking won't set him up for success, forcing us to lean on his receiving skillset. And given his upcoming defensive battles, I'd rather look elsewhere.
DJ Moore | Bills
So, here's my problem with DJ Moore.

The left-to-middle of Moore's UR game logs is exactly what you'd want to see. Well, not exactly. His shoulder injury sidelined him in Weeks 2 and 5. However, when healthy, his target rate has been over 20% in all three games. Moore has led the team in air yards in two of three games. Now, look at the right side.
- Week 1: WR9
- Week 3: WR31
- Week 8: WR13
Even though he's at the top of the totem pole, Moore is still on an offense with the 11th-lowest neutral passing rate. He's playing with a QB who likes to run the ball in scoring position. Plus, Moore has competition in the red zone if Josh Allen does decide to pass. Moore has just two end-zone targets on the season. Playing against the Vikings won't help build a strong case for his value rising, but the Bills' upcoming schedule should interest any manager on the other end of a deal.
Let’s Make A Deal
The other part of me focusing on a “Sell High” theme was the actual trade piece of the discussion. Because I can toss candidates out all day, cobble together some numbers, and make anybody look like a sell (except for Joe Burrow). But like in any negotiation, if the return isn’t worthwhile, then you’re not selling high. You’re just moving on from a productive player. So, when I went through the trade market, I looked for some of the guys we just talked about and tossed the deals into our Fantasy Football Trade Analyzer tool to see if there’s real value in getting rid of these guys.

Kyle Monangai returned to practice on Friday, putting him on the return timetable I mentioned earlier. But other managers in your league will see the same news. As such, I doubt a deal like this would go through. It should serve as a fine starting point, but I’d assume there’d have to be an extra piece from your side to get an acceptance. That’s where identifying the weak points of the other person’s roster will help. I added Tucker Kraft, and the trade win percentage fell to 44%. However, that was just a test. By using our rest-of-season tiered rankings, a few skill players below Kraft also stuck out.
Regardless, the initial framework is where the conversation starts. Afterward, by using our ranks and projections as a guide, the right deal should fall into place. But let’s see how we can make things work if you’re starting from a position of weakness.

I can only assume the person moving on from the WR1 in fantasy is in dire straits. And I get swinging for the fences, but let’s look at the risks. Let’s say the JSN-Higgins piece of the deal is a wash. It’s not, but for the sake of argument, this is a WR1-for-WR1 component of the trade. But the RB portion of it doesn’t look at the long-term outlook.
McCaffrey is still working through his hamstring, and this is coming out of his bye. On top of the lingering health concerns, the 49ers have games against the Vikings, Seahawks, Giants (20th in FPPG allowed to RBs), and Rams leading up to the fantasy playoffs. If we’re really looking to cash in on having the best WR in the game, we should get some usable pieces on the other end of the deal.

Checking our strength-of-schedule tool, the Browns won’t go up against a rush defense allowing fewer than 15 FPPG the rest of the way. Who might be under center may be an issue for Quinshon Judkins, but his game environments will be worth attacking. Plus, with getting two WRs out of the deal instead of one, you’ll have more paths to recoup what you lost with Smith-Njigba out of your lineup.
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