Tennessee Titans vs. Jacksonville Jaguars Fantasy Football Matchup Breakdown For Week 10
John Laghezza breaks down the Week 10 tilt between the Jaguars and the Titans as it pertains to fantasy football.
Yup, Jacksonville up five games in the division over the Titans by mid-November sounds about right. Tennessee’s fully rested off a bye, but unfortunately for them, so are the Jaguars after Thursday Night’s belt-to-bottom whooping of the Joe Fagnano-led Ravens. Being listed as a double-digit home dog with two weeks off probably says more than I could with an entire short story.
Titans vs. Jaguars Matchup Breakdown For Week 10 Fantasy Football
- Spread: Jaguars -10.0
- Total: 46.5
- Score Prediction (from our NFL Betting Game Model): JAX 28, TEN 17
*Fantasy Football Rankings listed are Fantasy Life's half-PPR consensus ranks at the time of writing.
Jacksonville Jaguars Fantasy Preview For Week 10
Everything seems to be lining up perfectly for these Jaguars, who’ve now won five of six after a disappointing second-half collapse in Denver. All that’s in the past now for Trevor Lawrence, whose only fantasy concern revolves around beating the opposition too badly to warrant pushing the ball in the fourth quarter. It’s remarkable, really. Check this out. T-Law’s the overall QB10 in fantasy points/game (18.4), which spikes to QB5 if we take out the fourth, a quarter in which he’s averaging 2.7 points/game. Yes, you read that right. So, will TEN push JAX throughout? Probably not, but we’re starting him anyway …
Luckily for us, even as Brian Thomas continually fades into the shadow realm, there’s been no direct replacement for target competition — the entire passing offense still flows through a mixture of Parker Washington (25.9% target/route, 2.33 yards/route) and Jakobi Meyers (18.0% target/route, 1.82 yards/route). Everything else is divvied up too scarcely for fantasy usage, including TE Brenton Strange, who’s now ceding work to Nate Boerkircher after their Week 7 bye. Just keep an eye on the second-round rookie from Texas A&M, who’s catching up to Strange’s route rate and could assume the starter’s load as a more well-balanced TE with big-time YAC skills.
Bhayshul Tuten found the end zone for the third straight week, even if 12 targetless touches weren't enough to force him inside the top-25. After back-to-back top-3 finishes, a little blowoff is perfectly normal. Nevertheless, sporadic floors are to be expected — Tuten’s 61% backfield opportunity share’s the lowest among all top-15 fantasy RBs. With that, Chris Rodriguez remains one of the more valuable handcuffs with a sub-40% rostership rate, already leading a +28 PPG team in both goal-line and goal-to-go carries.
- Start: Trevor Lawrence (QB7), Bhayshul Tuten (RB8), Parker Washington (WR17), Jakobi Meyers (WR40)
- Sit: Brenton Strange (TE18)
- Sleeper: Nate Boerkircher (TE38)
Tennessee Titans Fantasy Preview For Week 10
Cam Ward scored more fantasy points versus the Bengals than the previous three weeks combined, but is it enough to feel confident something positive’s finally going to stick moving forward? Color me skeptical at the very best. Even counting his first top-5 finish of the season, the former 1.01 is still the QB32 in points/game (8.2) on rotten underlying statistics (-0.12 EPA/dropback, 78.7 passer rating, 6.0 yards/attempt, 29.4% first-down rate). Credit where it’s due for eating three total sacks in as many games but we’re still talking about a single game over 222 pass yards in eight tries despite trailing on a ridiculous 68% of snaps this season.
The question of continuity’s a common throughline for all things Titans-related this week. Similar to Ward, RB Tony Pollard’s coming off his best stint of the season, namely a monster two-game stretch where he outscored the entire positional field by nearly 50%. The thing is, neither the Bengals nor the Browns slow the ground game whatsoever. Meanwhile, Liam Coen’s Jaguars represent a top-5 run-stopping unit, featuring all the spreadsheet trimmings (68.0% success, 3.7 yards/carry, 2.52 yards after contact/rush, 5.2% explosive rush, 18.6% first-down rate). I get being forced to start Pollard, especially during bye weeks, trust me. If anything, it’d normally be a perfect sell–high spot with all his best production in the rearview.
Hard to get overly enthused over Tennessee’s pass catchers while I’m so down on this bottom-5 passing offense as a whole, but I’ll say this. There’s potential. OK, it took 10 weeks, but you got me to admit something positive about the Titans. Are you happy now? Kidding aside, what I mean to say is even in this alleged breakout performance where two different WRs eclipsed 15.5 fantasy points, neither went over a 16.5% target/route or 1.77 yards/route — that volume won’t always be there.
Plus, Carnell Tate’s getting back into the mix, who will not be denied opportunities. So I’ll concede to starting the fourth overall pick with some modicum of confidence, but label me an aggressive seller of anything in powder blue that isn’t nailed down while vibes run at an all-time high. Most likely outcome? Jacksonville runs Tennessee out of the building before the first beers go flat …
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