Week 10 Guillotine Leagues™️ ADP Risers & Fallers: CJ Stroud, Breece Hall & More

It’s on to Week 10! And if you want to either start over or have been curious about Guillotine Leagues^TM, the great part is we’re always drafting. If you couldn’t fill an 18-team league, but have enough friends and family for a 9-team Guillotine League, we’ve got the game for you. Now is as good a time as any to start up another draft to keep the adrenaline pumping.

To help you out with your drafting, here are the risers and fallers in Guillotine League fantasy football ADP in the last week. And to help you with your research, check out our fantasy football rankings and fantasy football projections. We also provide Utilization Data to measure usage and often reference our DvP Tool for insight into this week’s matchup.

Week 10 Players Rising in Guillotine Leagues ADP

C.J. Stroud | QB | Texans | +15.1

ADP: 106.6

Nice little coincidence that Stroud has a bump after throwing for 384 yards and 5 TDs. Hmmm, isn’t that special? In eight games, Stroud has passed for 300+ yards four times. Pretty good resurgence after so many were throwing dirt on his long-term prospects to be a starting NFL QB last offseason. His matchup in Cleveland is fairly even—they give a -1.4 fantasy boost to QBs—and if you want a cheap QB option for a few weeks, it’s Stroud. He has inviting home games against the Colts and Ravens in Weeks 11-12.

Breece Hall | RB | Jets | 13.1

ADP: 50.3

Looks like drafters saw what they wanted in Hall in his first game back since getting hurt in Week 3. He logged 18 touches for 87 yards, though he remained out of the end zone. He scored just once in Week 1. His UR score was 67 to that of 48 by understudy Braelon Allen. Hall could be a solid RB2, and will have a matchup against the Bills this week. They’re allowing 22.2 FPPG to RBs (10th most), and the 40.6 receiving YPG they give up to the position is No. 7. The Jets will have to get the ball into their playmakers’ hands to keep up with Josh Allen and the Bills.

Rashee Rice | WR | Chiefs | +47.9

ADP: 17.1

Drawing 15 targets in his first two games after being out four weeks with a hamstring injury is decent. We would like to see more, especially with passes coming from Patrick Mahomes. But even after the trade for Josh Downs, Rice is going to be the target leader for the Chiefs for the near future. And possibly far. The Falcons host the Chiefs this week, and Atlanta is fresh off getting waxed by Ja'Marr Chase and Tee Higgins in Madrid. This should be another step forward for Rice, who finally appears healthy after his hamstring injury.

Harold Fannin | TE | Browns | +15

ADP: 87.4

Who saw Fannin go “Hulk Smash” in overtime on that 39-yard catch and run where he bulldozed his way to a touchdown? Apparently several drafters saw it and are now boosting up Fannin’s ADP. A little buyer beware here. Fannin is facing the Texans, who are allowing the 10th-fewest FPPG to TEs, and haven’t allowed a TE to get over 55 receiving yards since Dalton Kincaid went for 5-130-0 in the opener. Then the Browns are a part of BYE-mageddon in Week 11. So if you take him, it would behoove you to take a TE soon thereafter.

Week 10 Players Falling in Guillotine Leagues ADP

Matthew Stafford | QB | Rams | -9

ADP: 110

It hasn’t been a great week for a player riding a three-game winning streak that literally with a handful of plays going differently could be eight games. This drop is as much about Puka Nacua getting injured and missing time. It’s a big dropoff to Konata Mumpfield and Tutu Atwell. But this is still the reigning MVP, and he has several TEs to run 13 personnel. The matchup against the Cardinals is good (230.7 passing YPG against), and Stafford stuck them for 222 yards and 2 TDs. Though keep in mind, after this game the Rams do have their bye week. So have a backup option if you’re picking him.

Ashton Jeanty | RB | Raiders | 8.6

ADP: 38.9

This has not been the sophomore breakout we expected for Jeanty, with major apologies to my colleague Alex Cupps. Jeanty has just 9 more receiving yards than rushing (371-362), and has not hit double-digit carries since Week 6. This really looks like a lost season, and at this point in the season, for those starting up in drafts, Jeanty is not a player to build around in the fifth round. Let someone else take him and hit up another position.

A.J. Brown | WR | Patriots | -17.1

ADP: 70

We know, we know. Fantasy experts often say to not draft into hurt players. But with nine teams, rosters will be fairly shallow. Picking a player who could return from injury this week—he traveled with the Patriots to Munich—is risky, but with 9-team leagues now a player like Brown can go at 70, while very good rookies like KC Concepcion (79) and Carnell Tate (87.5) are going a little later and could be replacements for now. AJB would not be the recommendation in 18-team leagues, but shallower leagues have a little more room for error.

Trey McBride | TE | Cardinals | -2

ADP: 18.7

Our resident “wet blanket” has McBride on his Fades list for Week 10. We get it. The Cardinals are down to third-string at quarterback in rookie Carson Beck. Plus, they get the Rams this week, who just got back All-Pro DE Myles Garrett with a dominant 3-sack performance against the Commanders. But the Rams are allowing the eighth-most FPPG to TEs, and with Michael Wilson going down for the season, can’t you see Beck hyper-focusing on McBride 10+ times a game?