Baltimore Ravens vs. Dallas Cowboys Picks, Odds, Predictions, and Player Props for Week 3

Baltimore Ravens vs. Dallas Cowboys Picks, Odds, Predictions, and Player Props for Week 3

Kody Malstrom breaks down the Baltimore Ravens versus Dallas Cowboys Week 3 matchup from a betting perspective with predictions, picks and prop bets.

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Just when it looked like Baltimore was going to cruise to a 2-0 start to the year, the New Orleans Saints rattled off 15 unanswered points in the fourth quarter, upsetting the Ravens 24-17. With the Dallas Cowboys on deck, expect a more spirited effort from the Ravens offense, leading to a thrilling high-scoring affair in Rio de Janeiro.

Baltimore Ravens vs. Dallas Cowboys Betting Odds For Week 3

  • Spread: Ravens -3.5 (-102, FanDuel)
  • Moneyline: Ravens (-175, BetRivers)
  • Game Total: 52.5 (Over -106/Under -114, FanDuel)

While the Ravens stumbled in Week 2, the Dallas Cowboys were able to round back into competitive form, routing the Washington Commanders 37-20. Dak Prescott was efficient in the Cowboys' victory, throwing for 279 yards and four touchdowns while completing 83.87% of his passes.

Even with both teams trending in different directions, oddsmakers have tempered their expectations of the Cowboys winning outright, listing them just above the key number of three. There are still glaring holes all over the defense, fielding a group that ranks near dead last in defensive EPA and DVOA.

Unfortunately for Dallas, the lack of production the Cowboys receive from the defense holds them back from being a well-rounded unit while forcing the offense to play in highly volatile track meets. With no hope of containing Lamar Jackson and Derrick Henry, the Cowboys will need to be near perfect on offense just to keep pace or risk falling quickly behind on the scoreboard.

Prediction & Pick For Baltimore Ravens vs. Dallas Cowboys Week 3 Matchup

  • The Pick: Ravens Team Total o27.5 (-112, Caesars)

After ranking 32nd in defensive DVOA last year, the Cowboys made a concentrated effort to retool the defense by selecting Caleb Downs and Malachi Lawrence in the first round of the NFL Draft. The Cowboys also added depth to the back end by signing Jalen Thompson and Cobie Durant in free agency, limiting the drop-off in production should the secondary get ravaged by injuries.

Two games into the year, the Cowboys' additions on defense have yet to pan out, ranking 30th in defensive dropback EPA and 32nd in success rate. The Cowboys' gaps at multiple levels of the field make it easier for opposing quarterbacks to generate explosive plays through the air, keeping them ahead of the sticks.

To make matters worse for Dallas, the secondary will be on an island against the Baltimore Ravens, with the second level of the defense forced to anchor across the middle in an attempt to spy Jackson. With more ground to cover, more passing lanes will open up for the star QB to exploit, improving the quality of his throws for the full duration of the contest.

The Cowboys' front seven has also underwhelmed on the ground, limping into Week 3 ranked well below league average in defensive rush EPA. With two clear paths for success, expect the Ravens to get into the red zone with ease and put up points on the board at a blistering fast pace, clearing the over on the team total in the process.

Best Player Prop Bet For Baltimore Ravens vs Dallas Cowboys

Lamar Jackson - o272.5 Pass+Rush Yards (-115, bet365)

Fourth-quarter performance against the Saints aside, Jackson has been dominant this season, ranking in the top-12 in QB EPA per play, CPOE and success rate while leading the league in air yards. Jackson’s dual-threat abilities have also been on full display, averaging 6.7 yards per carry.

Jackson’s elite running ability makes him a nightmare matchup for the Cowboys LBs, forcing them to spy while trying to give the secondary the support they need in coverage. While scrambling in coverage on the back end, Jackson will be able to extend plays with his legs when a running lane opens up, leading to a sizable gain on the ground.

Henry’s presence in the backfield will also force the Cowboys to shade to the box, freeing up more space on the outside for the Ravens pass catchers to take advantage of.

Players Mentioned in this Article

  1. Dak Prescott
    DakPrescott
    QBDALDAL
    PPG
    22.6
    Proj
    18.5
  2. Lamar Jackson
    LamarJackson
    QBBALBAL
    PPG
    20.4
    Proj
    19.2
  3. Derrick Henry
    DerrickHenry
    RBBALBAL
    PPG
    25.5
    Proj
    19.2
  4. Caleb Downs
    CalebDowns
    SAFDALDAL
    PPG
    0.0

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