Seattle Seahawks vs. Washington Commanders Picks, Odds, Predictions, and Player Props for Week 3

Seattle Seahawks vs. Washington Commanders Picks, Odds, Predictions, and Player Props for Week 3

Kody Malstrom breaks down the Seattle Seahawks versus Washington Commanders Week 3 matchup from a betting perspective with predictions, picks and prop bets.

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In a loaded NFC West, the Seattle Seahawks must continue to string together wins in order to hold off the San Francisco 49ers and Los Angeles Rams. Luckily for the reigning Super Bowl champions, the Seahawks defense will be able to put together a dominant performance by taking advantage of the injury-riddled Washington Commanders.

Seattle Seahawks vs. Washington Commanders Betting Odds For Week 3

  • Spread: Seahawks -7 (-110, theScore Bet)
  • Moneyline: Seahawks (-320, theScore Bet)
  • Game Total: 40.5 (Over -110/Under -110, BetMGM)

The injury to Jayden Daniels could not come at a worse time for the Commanders, losing the versatility the offense needs to remain competitive. Daniels' running ability was vital to the Commanders' success, using it to mask an offensive line that struggles in pass blocking.

With Daniels out, Marcus Mariota makes his return under center, handicapping the Commanders' ceiling on offense. In his brief appearance against the Dallas Cowboys, Mariota was efficient, throwing for 111 yards and one touchdown while completing 68.75% of his passes.

Unfortunately for Mariota, he draws the short end of the stick in Week 3 with the Commanders hosting the Seattle Seahawks, who excel on defense at all three levels of the field. With Mariota struggling to air out the ball, the offense will stall out, making it easier for the Seahawks to pull away and cover the spread.

Prediction & Pick For Seattle Seahawks vs. Washington Commanders Week 3 Matchup

  • The Pick: Seahawks -7 (-110, theScore Bet)

The lack of production Mariota will receive from the offensive line will be on full display against the Seahawks, operating behind a group that ranks below league average in true pass set grade. By allowing the Seahawks to live in the backfield, Mariota will be forced to make plays with his legs, leading to disastrous results while throwing into narrow passing lanes.

The Commanders' inability to ward off pressure will also allow the Seahawks to anchor LBs in coverage while sending just the front four, smothering Mariota’s windows at every level of the defense. The Seahawks' extra bodies in coverage will also force Terry McLaurin and Stefon Diggs to consistently fight off contact, lowering the chances of hauling in a reception.

The Commanders' committee of RBs is also in for a long night while trying to gash a front seven that excels at stuffing the run per top-10 marks in defensive rush EPA and success rate. When slowed down in the trenches, Jacory Croskey-Merritt and Rachaad White will be unable to cut the distance to gain in half, keeping the Commanders comfortably behind the sticks.

After being held into an early out, the Commanders will be unable to get the ball back in Mariota’s hands in quick order with a defense in the bottom five in defensive DVOA. This will chip away at Washington’s total number of possessions on offense, improving the probability of being held behind on the scoreboard.

If the Seahawks spread crosses through the key number of -7, bypass the spread and place them in a six-point teaser with the 49ers instead.

Best Player Prop Bet For Seattle Seahawks vs. Washington Commanders

Marcus Mariota - Longest Completion u32.5 Yards (-115, bet365)

When matched up against the defending Super Bowl champions, explosive plays come at a premium with the Seahawks defensive line collapsing the pocket shortly after the snap. When under pressure, Mariota will be flushed out of the pocket, forcing him to either throw into crowded coverage while on the run or extend the play with his legs and trade a pass attempt for a carry.

The Seahawks' pressure will also give the Commanders' pass catchers less time in the open field to exploit the gaps in coverage, keeping a defender near the point of contact, which will make it difficult to generate yards after the catch. Barring a broken play, expect Mariota to be held to conservative throws to the flats and across the middle, keeping him under the total of 32.5 on his longest completion prop.

Players Mentioned in this Article

  1. Jayden Daniels
    JaydenDaniels
    QBWASWAS
    PPG
    16.2
  2. Marcus Mariota
    MarcusMariota
    QBWASWAS
    PPG
    4.4
    Proj
    13.7
  3. Terry McLaurin
    TerryMcLaurin
    WRWASWAS
    PPG
    4.2
    Proj
    7.9
  4. Stefon Diggs
    StefonDiggs
    WRWASWAS
    PPG
    16.4
    Proj
    7.5

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