
Week 11 College Football Parlays: SMU, Alabama, and More
Kody Malstrom shares three college football parlays for Week 11, including pairing bets on SMU and Alabama.
Even though Wake Forest is currently in sole possession of second place in the ACC standings, a loss to SMU would shake up the conference title picture, raising the stakes heading into Saturday’s matchup. In the night slate, we pair two underdogs in the Big 12, giving us a juicy two-team moneyline parlay to cap off the day.
College Football Parlays for Week 11
Reminder: In order to win your parlay, every leg must cash or else the bet as a whole will be graded as a loss.
SMU Team Total u30.5/Alabama -17 (+278, BetMGM)
With Kevin Jennings trimming down his total number of turnover-worthy plays, SMU has been efficient on offense, ranking near the top of the board in success rate. Turnovers have plagued Jennings over the past two years, making it difficult for the offense to get into a groove while spotting opponents generous field position.
With Wake Forest on deck, negative regression is looming large over SMU’s offense while Jennings battles it out against a defense that excels in coverage, per its top-20 marks in dropback EPA allowed per play and in explosiveness. When the Mustangs are able to get into scoring position, expect points to come at a premium with the Demon Deacons giving up just 2.28 points per opportunity.
While Wake Forest has thrived on defense, Vanderbilt has been abysmal, limping into Week 11 ranked 116th in success rate, 121st in finishing drives, and 87th in havoc. With Keelon Russell under center, the Commodores' second level will struggle to bottle up the Alabama quarterback while scrambling in coverage, making it easier for the Crimson Tide to stay ahead of the sticks.
Penn State Alt -6.5/Florida Alt +7.5 (+118, DraftKings)
After a hot start to the year, Minnesota is starting to unravel, losing three out of its last four games. The lack of production the Golden Gophers have received from the offense holds the team back from being a well-rounded unit, with Drake Lindsey leading a group that ranks near dead last in success rate, explosiveness, finishing drives, and havoc.
In a daunting matchup against Penn State, Lindsey will continue to struggle to sustain drives down the field while trying to pick apart a secondary that ranks well above league average in coverage grade and in PPA. With the Nittany Lions' corners holding their own in single coverage, the defense can shade linebackers to the middle, giving the front seven extra bodies to help stuff the run.
To pair with Penn State, we turn our attention to Florida with the offense in a great position to bounce back against Kentucky by taking advantage of a defense that hovers outside the top 100 in success rate. With the Wildcats capable of matching Florida’s output, sacrifice a bigger payout for security by taking the Gators up to the key number of +7.5.
Arizona ML/Texas Tech ML (+418, Caesars)
In a daunting letdown spot against Arizona, a sluggish start will be detrimental to Utah’s chances of winning, facing off against a defense that ranks above league average in havoc. With the Wildcats creating disruptions at a high rate, Devon Dampier will struggle to get into a groove, leading to a higher volume of early outs.
Speaking of disruptions, Thomas Castellanos will face minimal resistance in airing it out against Oklahoma State, throwing over the top of a secondary that ranks 71st in havoc and 137th in explosiveness. With Texas Tech’s defensive line capable of getting the ball out of Drew Mestemaker’s hands shortly after the snap, the Cowboys will be vulnerable to falling quickly behind on the scoreboard.
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