Going Over or Under On Four Yardage Total Props For 2026

I once watched some chick read a guy his tarot cards on a rooftop bar on Rainey St. in Austin, TX. And in some ways, that man's sh*tty date has prepared me for this moment.

DK recently dropped their odds for a select few players' futures, and I'm ready to lock in my predictions. New teams. New season. And even older players.

Channelling my inner Rainey St. tarot card reader, I’m ready to decide what is to come for these players in 2026.

Travis Kelce Receiving TDs: O/U 4.5 TDs

I know he's 36 and entering his 13th season, but Travis Kelce has historically been good for 5 rec TDs even when the Chiefs aren't playing well.

Last season marked Patrick Mahomes' fewest passing yards (3,587) and fewest passing TDs (22) since his first starting season back in 2018 (oof). The Chiefs won only six games (double oof). Yet, Kelce still managed a respectable 76-851-5 stat line on the year.

And for those who think Rashee Rice might steal the spotlight from last year's TE6 in PPR: Kelce technically scored more TDs when Rice was on the field in 2025 than when he wasn't.

9 games without Rice: 2 TDs
8 games with Rice: 3 TDs

So, ha! Take that! I'm taking the Over.

DJ Moore Receiving Yards: O/U 774.5 yards

Not only has DJ Moore surpassed 774.5 yards during all five of his seasons in Carolina (with 8 different starting QBs) and two of his three seasons in Chicago (with three different starting QBs), but he is now getting THE ULTIMATE QB upgrade.

If anyone is going to revive Moore's chances of another 1,000-yard season, it's Josh "Daddy" Allen. Sure, Allen hasn't had a 1,000-yard receiver since the departure of Stefon Diggs. But from 2020-23, Diggs logged four consecutive four-digit seasons. Maybe, just maybe, this is Allen's year to find his WR1 again in Moore.

But I digress. We aren't even talking about 1,000 yards here. We just need Moore to secure 775 yards for this one to come to pass. I'm soooo in.

Jahmyr Gibbs Rushing Yards: O/U 1,249.5 yards

Surely they meant to say rushing AND receiving yards, right? Right?

Nah. Gibbs is just that f*cking dude. And while he will undoubtedly continue to dominate on a team that moves the ball down the field like it's just a super-easy thing to do (hey Titans, take notes) ... I'm still cautious on this one.

Since 2016, only 20 RBs have eclipsed the 1,250-yard mark:

5x: Derrick Henry
3x: Saquon Barkley, Nick Chubb, Ezekiel Elliot, Jonathan Taylor
2x: Le’Veon Bell, CMC, James Cook, Todd Gurley, Josh Jacobs, Bijan Robinson, Kyren Williams
1x: De’Von Achane, Jay Ajayi, Jahmyr Gibbs, Jordan Howard, Kareem Hunt, Lesean McCoy, DeMarco Murray, Miles Sanders

So, yeah. I am cautious. But I don't want to live in a world where a talent like Gibbs stays at the bottom of this top-tier list. Screw it. I'll take the over again!

Jaylen Waddle Receiving Yards: O/U 874.5 yards

I haven't taken an under all morning. And guess what, I'm not starting now. I could tell you about Bo Nix's passing stats over his first two seasons. I could praise Waddle's abilities in the middle of the field. I could even remind you that Nix never had the dreaded sophomore slump.

But maybe this is all wishful thinking. Maybe it's just April during a very long offseason, and I'm choosing to feel hopeful as hell.

Sure, injuries can cut any player's season short. And yeah, we still have the NFL Draft to shake things up. But if you don't stand for something, you'll fall for anything. It’s not like I'm saying the Jets will win the Super Bowl or something egregious like that!

All of these futures COULD happen. And if they don’t, I say we blame that chick from Rainey St.

VIEW OUR FULL 2026 PROJECTIONS

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Ideal (Fantasy) Landing Spots For Remaining Free Agents

The start of NFL free agency saw many top names find new homes. However, some players still don't have a team, and if they find the right situation, they could make a positive impact on your fantasy team.

Let’s take a look at some of the top remaining options to highlight the ideal fantasy football landing spots for remaining free agents.

Tyreek Hill | WR

At the beginning of his tenure in Miami, Hill was one of the league’s top wide receivers.

He went for over 1,700 yards in the 2022 and 2023 seasons, including a league-leading 1,799 receiving yards and 13 receiving touchdowns in 2023.

The 2024 season saw a sharp decline, marking the first time since his rookie year that he had fewer than 1,000 receiving yards while playing at least 13 games. Last season, he did not get much of a chance to rebound due to a knee injury that ended his year after four games.

He was diagnosed with a dislocated knee and tore multiple ligaments, including his ACL, which will probably prevent teams from signing him during the offseason. The expected recovery time for this type of injury is between 9 and 15 months. Because he suffered this injury in October, he could be ready for training camp or miss the 2026 season.

If he were ready to play in 2026, going back to the Chiefs feels like the best fit. Not only does he reunite with Patrick Mahomes, but he’ll also have his last offensive coordinator in Kansas City, Eric Bieniemy, who returns to that position after leaving in 2022.

Hill’s transition could be much easier thanks to the familiarity with the team and offensive scheme.

Ideal Tyreek Hill Landing Spot: Kansas City Chiefs

A SNEAKY LANDING SPOT FOR DEEBO SAMUEL?

Price Checks On The Incoming 2026 Rookie Class

With the NFL Draft less than two weeks away, it’s time to check the ADP price tag on rookie skill position players and whether they are values in fantasy football or not. We’re using Underdog best ball ADP and our rankings, comparing the two to see whether players are properly valued or overpriced.

Jeremiyah Love | RB

Underdog ADP: 17.0
Positional Rank: 11
Verdict: Properly Valued

Analysts slapping Jeremiyah Love with the “Generational Talent” label, and rumors continuing to swirl that the Notre Dame prospect will be a top-10 pick, have landed yet another high-end rookie rusher in the first couple of rounds in drafts. But recent history should keep us from pushing Love’s ADP any higher.

Ashton Jeanty, 2025—RB6 (ADP), RB11 (EoS Rank)
Jonathon Brooks*, 2024—RB35, RB114
Bijan Robinson, 2023—RB4, RB9
Breece Hall, 2022—RB23, RB42
Najee Harris, 2021—RB11, RB3

* - Coming off injury

As we’ve learned (the hard way at times), fantasy production comes at the intersection of talent and situation. Sure, there’s no question (or fewer questions) about Love’s on-field ability. However, out of the first 10 teams drafting this year, just three ended the season with an above-average run-block win rate. And two of the three have established starters. So, for now, taking him at cost would be reasonable, but I’d be wary of letting the price go any higher.

WHICH ROOKIES ARE OVERVALUED AT CURRENT ADPs?