Josh Cameron Prospect Profile With The Jacksonville Jaguars From The 2026 Rookie Super Model

Josh Cameron Prospect Profile With The Jacksonville Jaguars From The 2026 Rookie Super Model

Dwain McFarland breaks down what the 2026 Rookie Super Model tells us about Baylor WR Josh Cameron.

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Josh Cameron joins a loaded WR room with the Jacksonville Jaguars after they selected him in the sixth round of the 2026 NFL Draft. For the full WR class data, check out all of the wideouts in the 2026 WR Rookie Super Model.

If you're new to the model, here is an introductory breakdown of the Rookie Super Model. All of this data is integrated into our free NFL Draft Guide, full of big board rankings, mock drafts and more. You can find my complete profiles of the 2026 NFL Draft wide receiver prospects here.

Working backwards from the top 25 WRs in this year's model, we're kicking things off with Josh Cameron, the wide receiver from Baylor.

Josh Cameron Rookie Super Model Profile

  • Super Model Rating: 61
  • Draft Pick: 191
  • Rookie Age: 23.5
  • Height: 73.5 inches
  • Weight: 220 pounds
  • Production Rating: 66
  • Film Rating: 76
  • Program Quality Rating: 73

NFL Draft Prospect Profile For WR Josh Cameron

Cameron was a zero-star recruit in 2021 who remained at Baylor all five seasons. He didn't notch meaningful production until his fourth and fifth seasons with 1.82 and 1.70 RYPTPA marks. He is best known for his TD-scoring prowess; he collected 19 over his final two seasons.

  • Adjusted Career RYPTPA: 25th percentile
  • Targeted QB Passer Rating: 102.1, 48th percentile

He also added value as a returner, finishing with 630 punt return yards (17.0-yard average) and 638 kick return yards (17.2-yard average).

  • aDOT: 10.1 (44th percentile)
  • YAC over expected: +0.1 (average)
  • Contested catch rate: 46% (average)
  • Drops: 2.7% (good)

Lance Zierlein of NFL.com has a 6.14 grade (51st percentile) on Cameron. He has concerns about his ability to beat press coverage, but praised Cameron's red-zone ability and hands. 

Cameron's closest Super Model comps:

Bottom line: Cameron was a late bloomer, and his production never reached the high-end ranges we want from a prospect like that. He is your classic strong-ball skills but separation-concerns prospect. He could add value in the red zone on the right team. The Rookie Super Model sees Cameron as a late Day 3 NFL Draft selection. He is a WR6 in fantasy football, where he will be fighting for targets in Jacksonville behind Brian Thomas, Jakobi Meyers, Parker Washington and Travis Hunter.


Glossary of Terms In The Prospect Profile

  • Adjusted Career RYPTPA: Career receiving yards per team pass attempt adjusted for age, strength of schedule, QB play, teammate competition, aDOT, and alignment. Doesn't count games missed.
  • aDOT: Average depth of target in yards.
  • Career Targeted QB Passer Rating: Passer rating on WR's targets.
  • Contested catch rate: Percentage of contested targets caught.
  • Contested catch rate over expected: Percentage of contested targets caught after adjusting for aDOT.
  • Draft Capital Rating: Based on Chase Stuart's Draft Value Chart, an improved version of what many know as the Jimmy Johnson trade chart. It accounts for the larger drop-off in the first round and a flatter drop-off around the end of the second round.
  • FDPRR: First downs per route run. Often shown as a percentage (first downs divided by routes).
  • Film Rating: Based on NFL.com prospect grades from Lance Zierlein.
  • Production Rating: A combination of adjusted career RYPTPA and career targeted QB passer rating.
  • Program Quality Rating: ESPN's College Football Power Index is used to assess program quality. The model accounts for each school a prospect attended.
  • RYPTPA: receiving yards per team pass attempt.
  • SOS Rating: Based on strength of schedule (SOS) from Sports Reference. The model accounts for each school the prospect attended.
  • Target Share: A player's percentage of team targets in games played.
  • TPRR: Targets per route run.
  • YAC: Average yards after the catch.
  • YAC over expected: YAC over expected after adjusting for aDOT.
  • YPG: Yards per game.
  • YPRR: Yards per route run.

Players Mentioned in this Article

  1. Savion Williams
    SavionWilliamsQ
    WRGBGB
    PPG
    1.7
    Proj
    49.6

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