It is time to make those tough lineup decisions for Week 12 of the fantasy football season.

Below you’ll find positional rankings, player analysis, betting totals, and implied points for every game on the slate.

Find all of our positional rankings here.

Fantasy Football Rankings & Tiers – Week 12

Last updated: 11 pm, Friday, November 25th Please refer to our Rankings page for updates!


TierPos RankPlayerOppGame TotalSpreadTeam TotalPPG
1QB1Josh Allenat DET54.5-9.532.0025.8
1QB2Patrick Mahomes IIvs LAR42.0-16.029.0026.9
1QB3Jalen Hurtsvs GB46.5-6.526.5024.3
2QB4Tua Tagovailoavs HOU47.0-14.030.5020.4
2QB5Joe Burrowat TEN43.5-2.523.0023.4
2QB6Lamar Jacksonat JAC43.5-3.523.5021.9
3QB7Kyler Murrayvs LAC48.02.522.7520.1
3QB8Justin Herbertat ARI48.0-2.525.2517.2
3QB9Justin Fieldsat NYJ38.56.016.2521.4
3QB10Dak Prescottvs NYG45.5-9.527.5017.2
3QB11Geno Smithvs LV47.5-3.525.5018.7
4QB12Jimmy Garoppolovs NO43.0-9.526.2517.0
4QB13Tom Bradyat CLE42.5-3.022.7515.5
4QB14Kirk Cousinsvs NE42.5-2.522.5016.3
5QB15Daniel Jonesat DAL45.59.518.0017.5
5QB16Trevor Lawrencevs BAL43.53.520.0016.7
5QB17Aaron Rodgersat PHI46.56.520.0015.6
5QB18Marcus Mariotaat WAS41.04.018.5016.3
5QB19Derek Carrat SEA47.53.522.0015.9
6QB20Matt Ryanvs PIT39.0-2.520.7514.9
6QB21Jacoby Brissettvs TB42.53.019.7516.0
6QB22Taylor Heinickevs ATL41.0-4.022.5013.5
6QB23Russell Wilsonat CAR36.0-1.518.7514.7
6QB24Jared Goffvs BUF54.59.522.5015.4
6QB25Ryan Tannehillvs CIN43.52.520.5013.9
6QB26Kenny Pickettat IND39.02.518.2513.3
6QB27Andy Daltonat SF43.09.516.7515.6
7QB28Mike Whitevs CHI38.5-
7QB29Bryce Perkinsat KC42.
7QB30Mac Jonesat MIN42.52.520.0010.9
7QB31Kyle Allenat MIA47.014.016.500.0
7QB32Sam Darnoldvs DEN36.01.517.250.0

Tier 1 – Josh Allen

Allen scored a season-low 12.6 fantasy points in Week 11 against the Browns. 

Since his elbow injury, the team has eased his designed-rushing workload to 4% and 6% in the last two games – far below his pre-injury 23% average. Last week the team dropped back to pass a season-low 49% of plays – also well below their season average of 67% – possibly in an attempt to save his elbow. Allen practiced in a limited fashion all week and was removed from the injury report.

The Lions allow the fifth-most non-overtime passing yards per game (273) and won’t have their No. 1 CB in Jeff Okudah. No team carries a higher implied points total in Week 12 than Buffalo (32).

Look for the Bills passing game to operate with high efficiency, but we could see a more balanced attack and less running from Allen as the team focuses on a healthy playoff run.

Tier 2 – Kyler Murray 

Murray was removed from the injury report after three full practices and should be near 100%.

The Cardinals square off against the Chargers in a game with shootout potential (48-point game total), and Murray should have DeAndre Hopkins and Marquise Brown on the field together for the first time in 2022.

The veteran QB has underperformed compared to the elite options, but he averages 38.9 rushing yards per game, which keeps him in the mid-range QB1 conversation.

Murray is the QB7 this weekend.

Tier 3 – Justin Fields

Fields will be a game-time decision due to a non-throwing-shoulder injury he suffered in Week 11. He wasn’t able to get in a full practice this week, and Trevor Siemian will start if Fields can’t play.

The Jets are the second-best coverage unit and fifth-best run defense according to PFF grades, which already made this a tricky spot for the second-year QB. If he plays, he could be limited and carries the risk of re-injury.

Fields moves out of the top-three options down to QB9.

Tier 3 – Dak Prescott 

Since his injury, Prescott averaged 250 yards and 2 TDs in four games. In a league where passing is down across the board, those are solid QB1 numbers. 

Dallas is dialing up pass plays only 51% of the time and relying on play-action 36% of the time over the four-game span – nine percentage points above the NFL average. Unlike some run-centric teams, they don’t seek to drain the clock. The Cowboys rank No. 2 in average time remaining on the play clock (11.5 seconds).

Additionally, the 29-year-old signal-caller has been more active on the ground, accounting for 10% of designed rushing attempts.

The Cowboys carry the third-highest team total on the slate, and the Giants have the second-worst PFF coverage grade (49.1).

Look for Prescott to keep things rolling as a mid-range QB1 this weekend.

Additional QB Notes & Movers:

  • Tier 4 – Kirk Cousins will face off against New England's No. 1 EPA pass defense. The Patriots allow the fifth-fewest passing yards per game in non-overtime play. However, Cousins has the weapons to overcome any defense – he averaged 284 yards and 1.7 TDs before his brutal outing against Dallas. The veteran QB remains a high-end QB2, but don’t be afraid to pivot.
  • Tier 5 – Daniel Jones has two top-five outings in his last four games. His 345-yard passing outburst is sure to regress, but he has shown it is in the range of outcomes. And that is enough, given his 43.2 rushing yards per game. The Giants carry a lowly 18-point team total and are 9.5 point dogs against the second-stingiest pass defense. Jones is a mid-range QB2. 

Running Back

TierPos RankPlayerOppGame TotalSpreadTeam TotalPPG
1RB1Austin Ekelerat ARI48.0-2.525.2523.0
1RB2Christian McCaffreyvs NO43.0-9.526.2520.2
1RB3Saquon Barkleyat DAL45.59.518.0018.5
1RB4Derrick Henryvs CIN43.52.520.5020.3
1RB5Josh Jacobsat SEA47.53.522.0019.4
2RB6Jonathan Taylorvs PIT39.0-2.520.7514.0
2RB7Kenneth Walker IIIvs LV47.5-3.525.5014.3
2RB8Travis Etienne Jr.vs BAL43.53.520.0013.9
2RB9Dalvin Cookvs NE42.5-2.522.5015.7
2RB10Rhamondre Stevensonat MIN42.52.520.0016.4
2RB11Nick Chubbvs TB42.53.019.7518.8
2RB12Tony Pollardvs NYG45.5-9.527.5016.3
2RB13Alvin Kamaraat SF43.09.516.7516.3
2RB14Jeff Wilson Jr.vs HOU47.0-14.030.5011.2
2RB15Rachaad Whiteat CLE42.5-3.022.756.0
2RB16Aaron Jonesat PHI46.56.520.0015.7
2RB17James Connervs LAC48.02.522.7512.3
3RB18David Montgomeryat NYJ38.56.016.2510.5
3RB19Dameon Pierceat MIA47.014.016.5013.8
3RB20Najee Harrisat IND39.02.518.2512.5
3RB21Antonio Gibsonvs ATL41.0-4.022.5012.7
3RB22Miles Sandersvs GB46.5-6.526.5012.8
3RB23Samaje Perineat TEN43.5-2.523.008.0
3RB24Jamaal Williamsvs BUF54.59.522.5015.4
3RB25Devin Singletaryat DET54.5-9.532.0012.0
3RB26Latavius Murrayat CAR36.0-1.518.759.9
3RB27Isiah Pachecovs LAR42.0-
3RB28D'Onta Foremanvs DEN36.01.517.257.8
4RB29Cordarrelle Pattersonat WAS41.04.018.5013.1
4RB30D'Andre Swiftvs BUF54.59.522.5013.4
4RB31Ezekiel Elliottvs NYG45.5-9.527.5011.9
4RB32Michael Cartervs CHI38.5-
4RB33Brian Robinson Jr.vs ATL41.0-4.022.507.6
4RB34Elijah Mitchellvs NO43.0-9.526.256.6
4RB35Kenyan Drakeat JAC43.5-3.523.509.9
4RB36Gus Edwardsat JAC43.5-3.523.5012.6
4RB37Damien Harrisat MIN42.52.520.009.4
4RB38Kareem Huntvs TB42.53.019.759.6
4RB39Cam Akersat KC42.
4RB40Tyler Allgeierat WAS41.04.018.508.1
4RB41AJ Dillonat PHI46.56.520.007.3
4RB42James Robinsonvs CHI38.5-
4RB43Jerick McKinnonvs LAR42.0-
4RB44Kyren Williamsat KC42.
5RB45James Cookat DET54.5-9.532.004.6
5RB46Trestan Ebnerat NYJ38.
5RB47Dontrell Hilliardvs CIN43.52.520.507.6
5RB48Kenneth Gainwellvs GB46.5-6.526.504.5
5RB49Marlon Mackat CAR36.0-1.518.750.0
5RB50Chuba Hubbardvs DEN36.01.517.253.0
5RB51Alexander Mattisonvs NE42.5-2.522.505.1
5RB52Keaontay Ingramvs LAC48.02.522.752.5
5RB53Isaiah Spillerat ARI48.0-2.525.251.7
5RB54Zamir Whiteat SEA47.53.522.000.3
5RB55Matt Breidaat DAL45.59.518.003.1
5RB56Justin Jacksonvs BUF54.59.522.502.9
5RB57Rex Burkheadat MIA47.014.016.506.4
5RB58Caleb Huntleyat WAS41.04.018.504.5
5RB59Justice Hillat JAC43.5-3.523.503.9
5RB60Boston Scottvs GB46.5-6.526.502.3
5RB61Deon Jacksonvs PIT39.0-2.520.757.3
6RB62Raheem Blackshearvs DEN36.01.517.253.1
6RB63Chris Evansat TEN43.5-2.523.000.7
6RB64Travis Homervs LV47.5-3.525.502.4
6RB65Gio Bernardat CLE42.5-3.022.750.0
6RB66Nyheim Hinesat DET54.5-9.532.005.5
6RB67JaMycal Hastyvs BAL43.53.520.003.1
6RB68Ameer Abdullahat SEA47.53.522.002.5
6RB69Ty Johnsonvs CHI38.5-
6RB70David Johnsonat SF43.09.516.751.7
6RB71Salvon Ahmedvs HOU47.0-14.030.500.4

Tier 1 – Saquon Barkley

Barkley had a rough outing against a soft Lions defense, leaving fantasy managers scratching their heads in Week 11. Sometimes great players don’t come through in choice matchups – it happens.

On a positive note, Barkley’s utilization remains pristine. He leads all RBs with an 82% snap share, ranks fourth in rush share (71%) and is No. 2 in route participation (66%). The opportunity profile doesn’t get better than that, y’all.

The Cowboys will look to build a lead and push New York to pass the ball, but the best path to a Giants victory could be through Barkley. Dallas has the fifth-worst PFF run defense grade (47.9) and fifth-best coverage unit (79.6).

Look for New York to feed Barkley early and often, he is a high-end RB1.

Tier 2 – Dalvin Cook

Cook is delivering gargantuan utilization numbers over the last five games. He ranks third in snap share (72%), fourth in rush share (69%), and eighth in route participation (54%).

WeekSnapsRush AttRoutesTargetsTPRRSDD Snapsi5 AttLDD Snaps2MIN SnapsPPR

The Vikings have trailed by four-plus points on 75% of snaps over the last two outings, which has lowered the team rushing attempts, but Cook isn’t leaving the field on passing downs.

The Patriots have the No. 1 EPA run defense (-0.71), which will be a stiff test, but the veteran back is due for an eruption game. Not only is he getting the opportunities, but he has also been efficient, ranking well above the NFL average in missed tackles forced (23%), average yards after contact (3.82), and attempts of 10-plus yards (15%).

Cook ranks three spots ahead of expert consensus and is a low-end RB1 with upside.

Tier 2 – Rhamondre Stevenson

Stevenson has given up a few carries since the return of Damien Harris in Week 11, but he remains the clear-cut No. 1 option in New England.

WeekSnapsRush AttRoutesTargetsTPRRSDD Snapsi5 AttLDD Snaps2MIN SnapsPPR

The second-year RB played 70% of the snaps in the last two outings with Harris (Weeks 9 and 11) and dominated all of the passing-down opportunities. Only Christian McCaffrey and Austin Ekeler have higher target shares than Stevenson (18%).

Against zone coverage, Stevenson’s TPRR surges to 27%, and on Thanksgiving, they will take on the Vikings – the second-heaviest zone squad in the NFL (82%).

Stevenson comes in three spots ahead of consensus as my RB10.

Tier 2 – Tony Pollard

Ezekiel Elliott returned to the lineup in Week 11 against the Vikings, which returned the Cowboys backfield to a rotation. However, an important development occurred, with Pollard posting a 59% route participation and gobbling up 100% of the two-minute offense.

The fourth-year RB has demonstrated a high-end receiving profile in the past, and it is showing up again this year with the fifth-best YPRR (1.71) of RBs with at least 100 routes.

Pollard and Elliott split the rushing workload evenly, including the work inside the five-yard line. Elliott could regain the lead in those two areas as his knee gets stronger, but Pollard has outperformed Zeke in every efficiency metric.


PFF Rush Grade

Missed Tackles Forced %

Average Yards After Contact

10-Plus Yard Attempts %

Tony Pollard





Ezekiel Elliott





Jerry Jones has remained steadfast in his belief that Dallas is a better team with Elliott playing, but the door has opened for Pollard. 

If the fourth-year RB can hang onto 35-40% of the rushing attempts and 60-65% of the passing downs, he has RB1 potential the rest of the way in a surging Cowboys’ attack.

The Cowboys are 9.5-point favorites over the Giants, with the fourth-highest team total. The Giants run the most man coverage (50%), which is the one cause for concern with Pollard. His target rate is only 4% against man coverage versus a robust 23% against zone.

Pollard is a high-end RB2 this weekend, but I have him three spots below consensus.

Tier 2 – Jeff Wilson Jr.

Raheem Mostert (knee) is doubtful for a juicy matchup against a Texans defense that invites a whopping 34.6 rushing attempts per game in non-overtime play. Houston ranks third-worst in PFF run defense grade (38.3).

Dolphins RBs with at least a 60% snap share are averaging 15.7 attempts and 3.2 targets per game. Miami leans to the pass more than the NFL average in trailing, close, and leading game scripts, but as 14-point favorites, there is a lot of room for Wilson to pick up touches.

Wilson ranks No. 6 in attempts of 10-plus yards (15%) and has the No. 17 PFF rush grade.

The Dolphins carry a 30.5-point team total, and Wilson should touch the ball 20+ times, making him a SMASH play as the RB14.

RB – Rachaad White

Leonard Fournette (hip) is doubtful, which means White is in line for an expanded workload. White stepped up his utilization starting in Week 4 but it stalled out, with the rookie failing to make much out of his touches.

The Buccaneers rank 31st in run blocking, and Fournette hasn’t fared much better, so there is still hope for the rookie.

Of course, volume is king at RB, and White gets a tantalizing matchup against a bewildered Browns team with the worst-graded PFF run defense (29.9). Cleveland allows the sixth-most rushing yards per game (136) in non-overtime play.

Giovani Bernard returns to action this weekend and could challenge for passing-down snaps, but White’s role as the leading runner should be safe.

White moves up to RB15.

Tier 3 – Samaje Perine 

Joe Mixon (concussion) won’t play, opening the door for Perine to serve as the lead back for the Bengals in Week 12. While the volume should be there, historically, Perine isn’t a very efficient RB, and the Titans are good against the run.

Tennessee is the No. 3 PFF run defense and allows the fewest rushing yards per game (81) in non-overtime play. On the flip side, they allow the second-most passing yards at 282 and the Bengals throw the ball more than the NFL average in trailing, close, and leading game scripts.

We could see most of the Bengals’ attack channeled via the passing game. Perine has a solid 21% TPRR and collected four receptions for 54 yards and three TDs last week. However, Cincinnati was not targeting their backs as much before the Ja’Marr Chase injury.

Perine ranks as my RB23, but if Chase is out, he could perform more like a mid-range RB2.

Tier 3 – Devin Singletary 

Singletary has quietly held onto all of the passing-down work despite the arrival of Nyheim Hines three weeks ago.

WeekSnapsRush AttRoutesTargetsTPRRSDD Snapsi5 AttLDD Snaps2MIN SnapsPPR

Over the last two games, the Bills have reduced Josh Allen’s rushing workload since his elbow injury, and that has led to 15.5 rushing attempts per game. With Buffalo favored by 9.5 points, we could see plenty of the veteran RB again in Week 12 against the Lions.

Detroit allows a league-high 25 fantasy points per game to opponents on the ground in non-overtime play.

Singletary is a low-end RB2 with RB1 upside.

Additional RB Notes & Movers:

  • Tier 3 – Jamaal Williams is in a tough spot against the Bills as 9.5-point dogs. The veteran still averages 15 attempts per game in contests where the Lions trail by four-plus on 40% or more of snaps. Leading scripts have helped Buffalo subdue opposing attacks, but they are the sixth-worst run defense per PFF grades (48.3). Williams remains an RB2 this week despite the matchup.
  • Tier 4 – D’Andre Swift practiced in full all week, so maybe we see him more against the Bills. The Lions will need all of their weapons to keep up with Buffalo. In recent weeks, the former first-round pick has averaged 17% of attempts with a 14% target share. He is a boom-bust RB3.  
  • Tier 4 – Ezekiel Elliott should be in line for about half of the rushing attempts for the Cowboys, who are a run-heavy attack. Dallas is a 9.5-point favorite, which could bode well for Elliot’s chances of punching in a score. He is a TD-dependent RB3.

Wide Receiver

TierPos RankPlayerOppGame TotalSpreadTeam TotalPPG
1WR1Tyreek Hillvs HOU47.0-14.030.5022.2
1WR2Stefon Diggsat DET54.5-9.532.0022.7
1WR3Davante Adamsat SEA47.53.522.0021.6
1WR4Justin Jeffersonvs NE42.5-2.522.5021.6
1WR5DeAndre Hopkinsvs LAC48.02.522.7521.1
1WR6CeeDee Lambvs NYG45.5-9.527.5016.4
1WR7A.J. Brownvs GB46.5-6.526.5016.2
2WR8Amon-Ra St. Brownvs BUF54.59.522.5015.6
2WR9Jaylen Waddlevs HOU47.0-14.030.5017.5
2WR10Amari Coopervs TB42.53.019.7516.1
2WR11Ja'Marr Chaseat TEN43.5-2.523.0020.2
2WR12Tee Higginsat TEN43.5-2.523.0015.5
2WR13Terry McLaurinvs ATL41.0-4.022.5012.9
2WR14Chris Olaveat SF43.09.516.7514.5
2WR15Mike Evansat CLE42.5-3.022.7514.9
2WR16DK Metcalfvs LV47.5-3.525.5012.6
2WR17Christian Kirkvs BAL43.53.520.0016.1
2WR18Tyler Lockettvs LV47.5-3.525.5014.4
2WR19DeVonta Smithvs GB46.5-6.526.5012.4
3WR20Gabe Davisat DET54.5-9.532.0013.4
3WR21Chris Godwinat CLE42.5-3.022.7512.8
3WR22Deebo Samuelvs NO43.0-9.526.2514.4
3WR23Michael Pittman Jr.vs PIT39.0-2.520.7513.9
3WR24Keenan Allenat ARI48.0-2.525.258.7
3WR25JuJu Smith-Schustervs LAR42.0-16.029.0013.1
3WR26Jakobi Meyersat MIN42.52.520.0014.0
3WR27Brandon Aiyukvs NO43.0-9.526.2513.9
3WR28Courtland Suttonat CAR36.0-1.518.7511.4
4WR29Garrett Wilsonvs CHI38.5-6.022.2511.0
4WR30Joshua Palmerat ARI48.0-2.525.2512.6
4WR31Allen Lazardat PHI46.56.520.0013.4
4WR32Christian Watsonat PHI46.56.520.0010.1
4WR33Marquise Brownvs LAC48.02.522.7518.3
4WR34Parris Campbellvs PIT39.0-2.520.759.9
4WR35Darius Slaytonat DAL45.59.518.0011.0
4WR36George Pickensat IND39.02.518.259.9
4WR37Diontae Johnsonat IND39.02.518.2510.1
4WR38Drake Londonat WAS41.04.018.509.4
4WR39Tyler Boydat TEN43.5-2.523.0012.4
4WR40DJ Moorevs DEN36.01.517.2510.4
4WR41Treylon Burksvs CIN43.52.520.507.9
4WR42Donovan Peoples-Jonesvs TB42.53.019.7510.2
4WR43Darnell Mooneyat NYJ38.
5WR44Curtis Samuelvs ATL41.0-4.022.5012.2
5WR45Adam Thielenvs NE42.5-2.522.5010.8
5WR46Allen Robinson IIat KC42.
5WR47Brandin Cooksat MIA47.014.016.5010.2
5WR48Nico Collinsat MIA47.014.016.509.3
5WR49Zay Jonesvs BAL43.53.520.0010.8
5WR50Michael Gallupvs NYG45.5-9.527.506.6
5WR51Marquez Valdes-Scantlingvs LAR42.0-
5WR52Demarcus Robinsonat JAC43.5-3.523.506.6
5WR53Terrace Marshall Jr.vs DEN36.01.517.257.9
5WR54Jarvis Landryat SF43.09.516.758.8
5WR55Mack Hollinsat SEA47.53.522.009.5
6WR56Isaiah McKenzieat DET54.5-9.532.008.2
6WR57Devin Duvernayat JAC43.5-3.523.509.4
6WR58Julio Jonesat CLE42.5-3.022.758.5
6WR59Jahan Dotsonvs ATL41.0-4.022.509.5
6WR60Alec Piercevs PIT39.0-2.520.757.6
6WR61Van Jeffersonat KC42.
6WR62Chase Claypoolat NYJ38.
6WR63Noah Brownvs NYG45.5-9.527.507.8
6WR64Robert Woodsvs CIN43.52.520.506.8
6WR65K.J. Osbornvs NE42.5-2.522.506.3
6WR66Marvin Jones Jr.vs BAL43.53.520.007.6
6WR67Corey Davisvs CHI38.5-
6WR68Chris Mooreat MIA47.014.016.507.6
6WR69Skyy Moorevs LAR42.0-
6WR70D.J. Chark Jr.vs BUF54.59.522.505.7
6WR71Kalif Raymondvs BUF54.59.522.506.1
6WR72Nick Westbrook-Ikhinevs CIN43.52.520.506.1
6WR73Randall Cobbat PHI46.56.520.008.1
6WR74Olamide Zaccheausat WAS41.04.018.506.6
6WR75Kendall Hintonat CAR36.0-1.518.755.1
7WR76Damiere Byrdat WAS41.04.018.506.3
7WR77DeAndre Carterat ARI48.0-2.525.257.8
7WR78Elijah Moorevs CHI38.5-
7WR79Laviska Shenault Jr.vs DEN36.01.517.256.7
7WR80Justin Watsonvs LAR42.0-
7WR81Ben Skowronekat KC42.
7WR82Tyquan Thorntonat MIN42.52.520.005.4
7WR83Tre'Quan Smithat SF43.09.516.756.2
7WR84DeVante Parkerat MIN42.52.520.006.3
7WR85Greg Dortchvs LAC48.02.522.757.0
7WR86Rashid Shaheedat SF43.09.516.755.6
7WR87Quez Watkinsvs GB46.5-6.526.504.6
7WR88Sammy Watkinsat PHI46.56.520.004.8
7WR89Jauan Jenningsvs NO43.0-9.526.254.4
7WR90Josh Reynoldsvs BUF54.59.522.5010.5
7WR91Trent Sherfieldvs HOU47.0-14.030.505.3
7WR92Richie James DAL45.59.518.005.3
7WR93Kenny Golladayat DAL45.59.518.001.8
7WR94Marquise Goodwinvs LV47.5-3.525.507.0
7WR95Dante Pettisat NYJ38.
7WR96David Bellvs TB42.53.019.753.4
7WR97Equanimeous St. Brownat NYJ38.
7WR98Denzel Mimsvs CHI38.5-
7WR99Nelson Agholorat MIN42.52.520.005.4
7WR100A.J. Greenvs LAC48.02.522.754.6
7WR101Isaiah Hodginsat DAL45.59.518.006.0
7WR102Robbie Andersonvs LAC48.02.522.754.8
7WR103James Proche IIat JAC43.5-3.523.501.9
7WR104Marquez Callawayat SF43.09.516.754.7
7WR105Lawrence Cagerat DAL45.59.518.003.2
7WR106Braxton Berriosvs CHI38.5-

Tier 1 – Stefon Diggs

Diggs ranks No. 4 in the NFL with a 29% target share (101), and he will face off against Detroit, the worst-graded PFF coverage unit (47.2).

Last week, the Bills opted for a run-heavy attack once they got the lead – a change from their traditional pass-heavy nature. That led to Diggs’ lowest target total of the year at five. 

There is a chance Buffalo is managing Josh Allen’s elbow injury and we could see something similar in Week 12, with Buffalo as near double-digit favorites. Of course, Diggs could still come through on sheer efficiency – he has the second-largest endzone target share (52%) behind only A.J. Brown.

Diggs is a high-end WR1.

Tier 1 – CeeDee Lamb

Only Tyreek Hill and Davante Adams have higher target shares than Lamb (31%).

WeekRoutesTPRRTargetsADOTAir YardsEZ Tgts3rd/4th Down TargetsPA TargetsPPR

The third-year WR has averaged 85.5 yards and 0.75 TDs per game since the return of Dak Prescott.

This week, he gets a matchup against the Giants, who play more man coverage than any other team at 50%. Lamb has destroyed both man and zone coverages this season, but his target rate surges to 27% against man, per PFF data.

The Giants are the second-worst coverage unit per PFF grades (49.1), making Lamb a SMASH play on Thanksgiving.

Tier 2 – Ja’Marr Chase

According to head coach Zac Taylor, Chase will be a game-time decision but had a good week of practice.

The second-year WR never made it to a full practice participation this week, but Taylor indicated that doesn't preclude Chase from suiting up. Fortunately, the Bengals play in the early window, so fantasy managers will be able to act accordingly.

When Chase does return, we can expect him to perform near pre-injury levels. Of course, the wildcard is whether the Bengals put him on a snap count or not, and we might not have that information before kickoff.

Given the risk of a limited workload, Chase ranks as my WR11 and my No. 29 ranked player overall. That puts him in Tier 2 with guys like Tee Higgins, Terry McLaurin, Chris Olave, and Mike Evans and ahead of Tier 3 with guys like Deebo Samuel, Michael Pittman Jr., and JuJu Smith-Schuster.

Tier 3 – Gabe Davis

Davis hasn’t taken the step forward many fantasy fans hoped for in 2022. His 16% target share is well below historical WR3 performers.

However, the third-year WR’s target shares have popped over the last four games. He battled an ankle injury early in the season, which could be a factor.

WeekRoutesTPRRTargetsADOTAir YardsEZ Tgts3rd/4th Down TargetsPA TargetsPPR

Since the bye week, Davis has a 25% target share and a 37% air-yard share.

According to PFF grades, the Lions are the worst coverage unit and play the fourth-most man. Davis has enjoyed a five percent target-rate increase against man.

Davis a SMASH WR2.

Tier 4 – Marquise Brown 

Brown is expected to suit up on Sunday against the Chargers.

Over the first six weeks of the season, Brown averaged 18.3 points per game with a career-high 26% target share. However, we could see a performance hit as the veteran WR gets back to full speed and the team could limit his reps.

The Cardinals are in a must-win scenario and don't have many other options right now outside of DeAndre HopkinsZach Ertz is out for the season, Rondale Moore is out, and Greg Dortch (thumb) is a game-time decision. As much as the coaching staff might want to limit Brown, there is a chance he plays more than we expect.

Brown is a mid-range WR3 with a boom-bust profile.

Tier 4 – Darius Slayton

Slayton took over a starting role in Week 5 with a 68% route participation and has slowly expanded his role. Last weekend, he hit a season-high at 87%, and he has a 22% target share over his last six games. Over that span, he has averaged 67 receiving yards per game and has four top-24 finishes.

Last weekend, the Giants lost Wan’Dale Robinson (knee) for the season, and Slayton saw a season-high 48% of routes from the slot. The Giants' passing offense will be under duress against Dallas, but Slayton is the centerpiece of their passing offense.

Slayton is a low-end WR3 this weekend.

Additional WR Notes & Movers:

  • Tier 1 – Justin Jefferson draws a matchup against the No. 1 EPA pass defense (-0.24) in the Patriots. New England will likely focus heavily on Jefferson to take him away, but that is easier said than done. The third-year WR ranks sixth in target share (29%) and fourth in yards per route run (YPRR). He is a mid-range WR1.
  • Tier 2 – Amon-Ra St. Brown averages 10 targets in games where he has played at least 70% of passing downs. The Bills are a difficult matchup on paper, but the Sun God fears no defense. He is a low-end WR1 that is due for a 30-point outburst.
  • Tier 3 – Jakobi Meyers faces a Vikings secondary that allows the sixth-most fantasy points to opposing pass catchers in non-overtime play. The Patriots tend to spread things out more against zone coverage, but Meyers is the team’s No. 1 option. He is a mid-range WR2.
  • Tier 6 – Isaiah McKenzie has taken over the primary slot duties after splitting the work earlier in the season. Last week the Bills went with more TE sets in a run-first game plan, but eventually, we will get a McKenzie spike game in his new role. It could be this week. He is a boom-bust WR5.
  • Tier 6 – DJ Chark returned to action in Week 11 and should expand his route participation against the Bills. He is a boom-bust WR6.

Tight End

TierPos RankPlayerOppGame TotalSpreadTeam TotalPPG
1TE1Travis Kelcevs LAR42.0-16.029.0022.3
1TE2Mark Andrewsat JAC43.5-3.523.5014.9
2TE3T.J. Hockensonvs NE42.5-2.522.5012.1
2TE4Pat Freiermuthat IND39.02.518.2510.9
2TE5George Kittlevs NO43.0-9.526.2512.2
2TE6Dalton Schultzvs NYG45.5-9.527.507.6
3TE7Tyler Higbeeat KC42.
3TE8Greg Dulcichat CAR36.0-1.518.759.1
4TE9David Njokuvs TB42.53.019.7510.4
4TE10Cole Kmetat NYJ38.
4TE11Dawson Knoxat DET54.5-9.532.008.2
4TE12Hayden Hurstat TEN43.5-2.523.008.5
4TE13Evan Engramvs BAL43.53.520.007.9
4TE14Juwan Johnsonat SF43.09.516.758.7
4TE15Foster Moreauat SEA47.53.522.007.2
4TE16Tyler Conklinvs CHI38.5-
4TE17Taysom Hillat SF43.09.516.759.1
4TE18Gerald Everettat ARI48.0-2.525.259.2
5TE19Noah Fantvs LV47.5-3.525.506.7
5TE20Robert Tonyanat PHI46.56.520.007.4
5TE21Mike Gesickivs HOU47.0-14.030.507.5
5TE22Austin Hoopervs CIN43.52.520.505.6
5TE23Hunter Henryat MIN42.52.520.005.2
5TE24Trey McBridevs LAC48.02.522.752.1
5TE25Logan Thomasvs ATL41.0-4.022.506.3
6TE26Isaiah Likelyat JAC43.5-3.523.505.6
6TE27Kylen Gransonvs PIT39.0-2.520.754.5
6TE28Cade Ottonat CLE42.5-3.022.756.7
6TE29Will Disslyvs LV47.5-3.525.507.0
6TE30Harrison Bryantvs TB42.53.019.755.5
6TE31Cameron Brateat CLE42.5-3.022.754.4
6TE32Jonnu Smithat MIN42.52.520.005.0
6TE33Jordan Akinsat MIA47.014.016.505.7
6TE34Jack Stollvs GB46.5-6.526.501.8
6TE35Tommy Tremblevs DEN36.01.517.253.3
6TE36Mo Alie-Coxvs PIT39.0-2.520.755.3
6TE37Brock Wrightvs BUF54.59.522.503.7
6TE38Chigoziem Okonkwovs CIN43.52.520.503.4
6TE39James Mitchellvs BUF54.59.522.504.2

Tier 2 – Dalton Schultz

Schultz projects poorly in most models based on his overall body of work this season. However, he battled an MCL injury early and has come alive over the last four games, averaging 49.8 receiving yards. 

His target rates have been elite at 31%, 33%, 23%, and 23%, and he is the No. 2 option in a Cowboys passing attack averaging 250 yards over the last four games.

Schultz is a mid-range TE1.

Additional TE Notes & Movers:

  • Tier 2 – T.J. Hockenson has a gaudy 83% route participation and 26% target share in his first three games with the Vikings. He has surpassed a fading Adam Thielen as the clear No. 2 option in a pass-first attack seeking a division title. The former first-round pick is a high-end TE1.
  • Tier 4 – Dawson Knox posted a season-high 28% target share last week, but his season total remains low at 12%. He is a boom-bust high-end TE2.
Dwain McFarland
Dwain McFarland
Dwain is the Lead Fantasy Analyst and Director of Analytics of Fantasy Life. He is best known for the Utilization Report, which led to his first full-time role in the industry at Pro Football Focus. Dwain’s experience and background have helped him craft a unique voice in the fantasy football community. He has placed highly in multiple national season-long contests, including three top-five finishes at the FFPC. Before beginning his fantasy career in 2018, Dwain led product strategy and data and analytics teams for one of the largest healthcare improvement companies in the nation.