Do you realize there are only 44 days between now and fantasy Super Bowl Sunday? Until that one shot? That one moment? To seize everything you’ve ever wanted? Will you capture it? Or just let it slip?

Regardless, yeah: Week 11 is here, baby! What follows are my 10 biggest questions ahead of this week’s action along with a bunch of other shit that I just so happened to find cool for one reason or another.

As always: It’s a great day to be great.

1. Is the Joshua Dobbs elite QB1 experience for real?

The Passtronaut has emerged as one of 2023's best stories.

From shocking the undefeated Cowboys in Week 3, to generally leading the inept Cardinals to far more competitive contests than expected, and most recently keeping the Vikings’ win streak going with back-to-back GREAT performances: It’s Dobbs’ world, and we’re just living in it.

Right? Has he really been that good?

In fantasy land: Yes, thanks in large part to his rather deadly rushing ability. Consider: Only Jalen Hurts and Lamar Jackson are averaging more fantasy points per game from purely production on the ground this season:

  • Jalen Hurts (8.2)
  • Lamar Jackson (7.8)
  • Dobbs (6.68)
  • Josh Allen (6.66)
  • Justin Fields (5.0)

Dobbs has also gotten the good times rolling through the air with the Vikings after brutally averaging under five adjusted yards per attempt in four consecutive games to end his tenure with the Cardinals.

As a whole this season: Dobbs has been pretty bad throwing the football.

  • EPA per dropback: -0.02 (No. 23)
  • Completion percentage over expected: -1.2% (No. 26)
  • PFF pass grade: 58.0 (No. 27 among 33 QBs with 150-plus dropbacks this season)
  • Passer rating: 85.1 (No. 20)
  • Yards per attempt: 6 (No. 30)

That said, consecutive solid performances against fairly stiff tests in the Saints and Falcons lend credence to the idea that Dobbs can more consistently move the ball through the air in this rather loaded Vikings attack that *should* get All-Pro WR Justin Jefferson (hamstring, IR) back sooner rather than later.

Also helping matters is the schedule. Not all layups, but things could certainly be worse than finishing the fantasy season with the Broncos (23rd in fantasy points per game allowed to QBs), Bears (29th), Raiders (9th), Bengals (16th), Lions (22nd) and Packers (4th).

Fire up Dobbs as a top-12 option at the position this week with Jefferson back in the lineup; he’ll be just a bit less enticing without one of the game’s best WR against a Denver defense that — to their credit –— has allowed the third-fewest points per game (16.75) over their past four games despite facing Patrick Mahomes (twice) and Josh Allen (Jordan Love too, but, you know).

You can also target Dobbs on Underdog Fantasy, where you can get a 100% deposit match of up to $100 when you sign up below with promo code LIFE!


2. What does this Bills offense REALLY need to start clicking?

On the surface, the Bills offense seems fine. Top-eight if not top-three in pretty much any advanced offensive efficiency metric you want to look at: Things have hardly been THAT bad for Josh Allen and company.

However, a LOT of that offensive goodness comes from the Bills racking up numbers against the Raiders (38 points), Commanders (37) and Dolphins (48) in Weeks 2 to 4. I’m not a fan of “take away a team’s good games and they are actually bad” analysis; just realize this really hasn’t been the usual Bills Mafia juggernaut for a good month and a half at this point.

Ever since the Bills visited London to take on the Jaguars in Week 5…

  • EPA per play: +0.064 (No. 5)
  • Yard per play: 6.1 (No. 6)
  • Yard per pass attempt: 7.2 (No. 13)
  • Yards per carry: 4.5 (No. 6)
  • Points per game: 20.5 (No. 19)
  • TD drive percentage: 25.8% (No. 9)

Not terrible, but at a minimum it’s been a while since the Bills have reminded us that they’re capable of looking like the single-best offense in football.

Turnovers haven’t helped — but guess what? Guys who make as many amazing plays as Allen usually come with a bit of a price to pay. Yes, Allen has 39 turnover-worthy plays over the past two seasons (second-most in the NFL). Also yes, Patrick Mahomes (31) is tied for fifth with Kirk Cousins. Obviously, each would prefer to not put the ball in harm's way as often; just realize the Bills’ franchise QB (as a whole) has continued to do his most important job this season: Efficiently put up big-time numbers.

There’s also the fact that — as Gabe Davis demonstrated last Monday night — not all of these interceptions have been on Allen. Overall, only Jordan Love (6) and Justin Fields (5) have more interceptions that were deemed to NOT be turnover-worthy plays by PFF than Allen (4).

Clearly, the decision to fire offensive coordinator Ken Dorsey was more so due to his inability to hit sky-high expectations than a complete failure to lead this offense to very good production.

Here’s the more immediate pressing problem: Sauce Gardner and the Jets are responsible for three of Allen’s four worst performances in fantasy points from purely passing production over the past two seasons. The other dud … came last week against the Broncos. Not ideal!

Look, Allen, Stefon Diggs and Dalton Kincaid managers can continue to start their guys each and every week because there’s a damn good chance you don’t have a better option, but it’d make sense if it’s another week or two before we see this group really catch its stride again.

In the meantime — maybe get that guy James Cook the football a little more? Reminder: Last week’s case of the butterfingers marked the first time he let the football hit the ground since literally his first NFL touch:

  • PFF rush grade: 83.1 (No. 4 among 47 qualified RBs)
  • Yards per carry: 5.1 (No. 5)
  • Yards after contact per carry: 3.2 (No. 8)
  • Missed tackles forced per carry: 0.15 (No. 28)
  • Explosive run play rate: 14.3% (No. 6)

Yes, Cook has benefited from only facing eight-plus defenders in the box on 9.2% of his carries — the second-lowest mark among qualified RBs. Also yes, isn’t that kind of how defenses are forced to defend this offense when Cook — a dynamic pass-game threat — is on the field?

It’s not a given the Bills will feature Cook more down the stretch (has anyone heard a single damn thing about Leonard Fournette?), but the second-year talent joins Gabe Davis as solid enough FLEX plays as long as they remain fairly featured pieces of an offense that should see better days ahead.


3. What should fantasy managers make out of Tony Pollard at this point?

Look: Pollard hasn’t been very good at rushing the football this season:

  • PFF rush grade: 65.8 (No. 39 among 47 qualified RBs)
  • Yards per carry: 3.9 (No. 27)
  • Yards after contact per carry: 2.7 (No. 29)
  • Missed tackles forced per carry: 0.09 (tied for No. 45)
  • Explosive run play rate: 7.4% (No. 32)

That said: Austin Ekeler (65.1) has a worse PFF rush grade, and Pollard’s explosive run-play rate is just a fraction behind Breece Hall. Guys like Alvin KamaraRachaad White, Josh JacobsAaron Jones and Joe Mixon have been quite a bit less efficient on the ground.

And guess what? Fantasy managers of all those aforementioned RBs don’t care, because each has managed to make up for their lack of rushing efficiency with plenty of pass-game and/or goal-line work.