It's time to make those tough lineup decisions for Week 3, and Dwain has you covered with in-depth player tiers, rankings, and analysis. Here are a few of his favorites for Week 3:

Find all of our positional rankings here.

rankings and tiers

Fantasy Football Rankings & Tiers – Week 3

It is time to make those tough lineup decisions for Week 3 of the fantasy football season.

Below you’ll find positional rankings, player analysis, betting totals, and implied points for every game on the slate.

Last updated: 4pm, Saturday, September 24th


TierPos RnkPlayerOppTotalSpreadImplied Points
1QB1Josh Allenat MIA53.0-4.528.75
1QB2Jalen Hurtsvs WAS47.5-6.527.00
2QB3Lamar Jacksonvs NE44.0-2.523.25
2QB4Kyler Murrayvs LAR48.53.522.50
2QB5Patrick Mahomes IIvs IND50.5-5.528.00
3QB6Joe Burrowat NYJ45.0-6.025.50
3QB7Matthew Staffordat ARI48.5-3.526.00
4QB8Kirk Cousinsvs DET52.0-5.528.75
4QB9Derek Carrat TEN45.5-2.524.00
4QB10Russell Wilsonat SF44.01.521.25
4QB11Justin Herbertvs JAC42.5-3.022.75
5QB12Tua Tagovailoavs BUF53.04.524.25
5QB13Carson Wentzat PHI47.56.520.50
5QB14Jared Goffvs MIN52.05.523.25
5QB15Marcus Mariotaat SEA42.01.020.50
5QB16Tom Bradyvs GB42.0-1.021.50
5QB17Aaron Rodgersvs TB42.01.020.50
6QB18Justin Fieldsvs HOU39.0-3.021.00
6QB19Trevor Lawrenceat LAC42.53.019.75
6QB20Jameis Winstonat CAR41.0-2.521.75
7QB21Ryan Tannehillat LV45.52.521.50
7QB22Jimmy Garoppoloat DEN44.0-1.522.75
7QB23Joe Flaccovs CIN45.06.019.50
7QB24Mac Jonesvs BAL44.02.520.75
7QB25Davis Millsvs CHI39.03.018.00
7QB26Matt Ryanat KC50.55.522.50
7QB27Daniel Jonesvs DAL39.0-1.020.00
7QB28Baker Mayfieldat NO41.02.519.25
7QB29Geno Smithat ATL42.0-1.021.50
7QB30Mitch Trubiskyat CLE38.54.517.00
7QB31Cooper Rushat NYG39.01.019.00
7QB32Jacoby Brissettat PIT38.5-4.521.50


Tier 1 – Josh Allen

Allen has the fourth-most regulation passing yards (614) and is tied for the most passing TDs at seven. The Dolphins are without Byron Jones (PUP), and Xavien Howard is questionable due to a groin injury. 

Per PFF data, Miami continues to run the second-most man coverage (39%) despite their injuries. They also offer the second-highest zero-coverage rate (11%), which could leave Bills’ receivers in some great one-on-one matchups. The Dolphins have given up the eighth-most passing yards in regulation (531).

The Bills carry the No. 1 implied point total on the slate as six-point favorites but don’t expect them to let up in the passing game. They throw the ball the second-most in the NFL when leading by four or more points (68%).

Tier 1 – Jalen Hurts 

Hurts faces off against a Commanders secondary that has allowed 531 yards (tied for eighth-most) and five TDs in regulation play. The Eagles’ QB has thrown for the seventh-most yards in regulation (576). He only has one passing touchdown, so there is room for more fantasy points.

Per PFF, no QB handles more designed rush attempts than Hurts (24.6%), and Washington has the fourth-lowest PFF run defense grade (47.3).

This is a good matchup for Hurts on both fronts, and the Commanders have played well enough to provide shootout potential. The Eagles possess a top-five implied point total.

Hurts is a SMASH play in Week 3.

Tier 3 – Joe Burrow

The Bengals have a top-six implied point total in a matchup against a Jets unit with the fourth-worst EPA against the pass. Burrow & Co. have struggled early this season, but this game provides a great opportunity for the entire offense to get back on track.

Tier 3 – Matthew Stafford

Stafford matches up against a Cardinals defense that has allowed 594 yards (second-most) and seven TDs (tied for the most) through the air in regulation play. No other defense ranks lower in PFF pass defense (36.9).

The Rams have a top-five implied point total in a contest with the third-best game total. We could see an NFC West shootout.

Stafford is a SMASH play in Week 3.

Tier 4 – Justin Herbert

Herbert (ribs) is questionable for a tilt against the Jaguars. The line has fallen 3.5 points, and the game total is down five points since the beginning of the week over at BetMGM.

The third-year QB is at risk of not playing in the late window and carries the risk of re-injury if he does suit up. 

Saturday Update: He moves down to high-end QB2 territory, given the additional risk.

Tier 5 – Tom Brady

Brady won’t have Mike Evans (suspension), and the rest of his receiving corps is questionable for a matchup against Green Bay. The goat only has 402 yards and two TDs through the air in 2022, and the Packers’ pass defense sports a top-six EPA.

Saturday Update: Brady will be without Mike Evans and Chris Godwin. Russell GageJulio Jones, and Breshad Perriman are all questionable. Whoever manages to suit up likely won’t be 100% and could exit the game early.

Look elsewhere in Week 3 Brady drops to the bottom of Tier 5 and is a FADE.

Running Back


TierPos RnkPlayerOppTotalSpreadImplied Points
1RB1Dalvin Cookvs DET52.0-5.528.75
1RB2Christian McCaffreyat NO41.02.519.25
2RB3Jonathan Taylorvs KC50.55.522.50
2RB4Saquon Barkleyvs DAL39.0-1.020.00
2RB5D'Andre Swiftvs MIN52.05.523.25
2RB6Austin Ekelerat JAC42.5-3.022.75
2RB7Joe Mixonat NYJ45.0-6.025.50
2RB8Derrick Henryvs LV45.52.521.50
3RB9Leonard Fournetteat GB42.0-1.021.50
3RB10Nick Chubbvs PIT38.5-4.521.50
3RB11Aaron Jonesat TB42.01.020.50
3RB12Javonte Williamsvs SF44.01.521.25
3RB13Alvin Kamaravs CAR41.0-2.521.75
3RB14Najee Harrisat CLE38.54.517.00
4RB15Antonio Gibsonat PHI47.56.520.50
4RB16David Montgomeryvs HOU39.0-3.021.00
4RB17Cordarrelle Pattersonat SEA42.01.020.50
4RB18Jeff Wilson DEN44.0-1.522.75
4RB19Clyde Edwards-Helaireat IND50.5-5.528.00
4RB20Josh Jacobsat TEN45.5-2.524.00
4RB21AJ Dillonvs TB42.01.020.50
4RB22James Connervs LAR48.53.522.50
5RB23Kareem Huntat PIT38.5-4.521.50
5RB24Miles Sandersat WAS47.5-6.527.00
5RB25James Robinsonvs LAC42.53.019.75
5RB26Ezekiel Elliottat NYG39.01.019.00
5RB27Darrell Henderson Jr.vs ARI48.5-3.526.00
5RB28Dameon Pierceat CHI39.03.018.00
6RB29Tony Pollardat NYG39.01.019.00
6RB30Travis Etienne LAC42.53.019.75
6RB31Damien Harrisat BAL44.02.520.75
6RB32Devin Singletaryvs MIA53.0-4.528.75
6RB33Michael Cartervs CIN45.06.019.50
6RB34Cam Akersat ARI48.5-3.526.00
6RB35Rhamondre Stevensonvs BAL44.02.520.75
6RB36J.K. Dobbinsat NE44.0-2.523.25
6RB37Rashaad Pennyat ATL42.0-1.021.50
6RB38Melvin Gordon IIIvs SF44.01.521.25
6RB39Chase Edmondsvs BUF53.04.524.25
6RB40Jamaal Williamsat MIN52.05.523.25
6RB41Breece Hallvs CIN45.06.019.50
6RB42Nyheim Hinesvs KC50.55.522.50
6RB43Raheem Mostertvs BUF53.04.524.25
6RB44J.D. McKissicat PHI47.56.520.50
6RB45Mark Ingram IIat CAR41.0-2.521.75
6RB46Kenneth Gainwellvs WAS47.5-6.527.00
6RB47Jerick McKinnonvs IND50.5-5.528.00
7RB48Ken Walker IIIat ATL42.0-1.021.50
7RB49Darrel Williamsvs LAR48.53.522.50
7RB50Rex Burkheadvs CHI39.03.018.00
7RB51Khalil Herbertat HOU39.0-3.021.00
7RB52Brandon Boldenat TEN45.5-2.524.00
7RB53Eno Benjaminat LAR48.53.522.50
7RB54Tyler Allgeiervs SEA42.01.020.50
7RB55Kenyan Drakevs NE44.0-2.523.25
7RB56Zack Mossvs MIA53.0-4.528.75
7RB57Alexander Mattisonat DET52.0-5.528.75
7RB58Rachaad Whitevs GB42.0-1.021.50
7RB59Boston Scottvs WAS47.5-6.527.00
7RB60Samaje Perineat NYJ45.0-6.025.50
7RB61Jordan Masonat DEN44.0-1.522.75
7RB62James Cookvs MIA53.0-4.528.75
7RB63Joshua Kelleyat JAC42.5-3.022.75
7RB64Isiah Pachecovs IND50.5-5.528.00
7RB65Dontrell Hilliardat LV45.52.521.50
7RB66Jaylen Warrenat CLE38.54.517.00
7RB67Ameer Abdullahvs TEN45.5-2.524.00
7RB68Travis Homerat ATL42.0-1.021.50
7RB69Hassan Haskinsvs LV45.52.521.50
7RB70Sony Michelvs JAC42.5-3.022.75
7RB71Mike Davisat NE44.0-2.523.25
7RB72Matt Breidavs DAL39.0-1.020.00
7RB73Justice Hillvs NE44.0-2.523.25
7RB74D'Onta Foremanat NO41.02.519.25
7RB75Chuba Hubbardat NO41.02.519.25
7RB76Zamir Whitevs TEN45.5-2.524.00
7RB77Kyle Juszczykat DEN44.0-1.522.75
7RB78Tony Jones Jr.vs CAR41.0-2.521.75



Tier 1 – Dalvin Cook

Cook is only averaging 13.8 points per game, but his utilization profile remains top-six.

PlayerSnapsRush AttRoutesTargetsTPRRSDD Snapsi5 AttLDD Snaps2MIN SnapsPPR
Christian McCaffrey87%69%72%21%19%95%100%95%100%16.3
Saquon Barkley83%68%74%22%20%73%67%73%75%21.6
Leonard Fournette81%71%71%10%13%88%0%88%100%12.6
Jonathan Taylor75%80%63%9%13%70%50%70%35%17.4
Joe Mixon74%88%55%15%19%18%100%18%72%16.4
Dalvin Cook73%70%66%13%13%80%0%80%60%13.8


The Vikings are tied for the No. 1 implied points on the slate in a game at home against the Lions, where they are six-point favorites. 

If Minnesota can develop a lead, Cook could be very busy against a team that has allowed the seventh-highest yards (304) and the most TDs (five) on the ground. If they can’t, that’s okay; Cook possesses the fifth-best RB route participation (66%) in the NFL and a 13% target share (top-six).

Things rarely align this well, making Cook an absolute SMASH play as my No. 1 RB in Week 3.

Tier 2 – D’Andre Swift

I am four spots ahead of expert consensus on Swift. While opposing RBs don’t correlate well from a fantasy-points perspective, Swift has that receiving profile that can make it work. Only six other backs have higher route participation (62%) than the third-year RB.

He ranks fourth in the NFL with 200 rushing yards in regulation. He is crushing all of the talent-profile metrics you love to see, per PFF:

  • PFF rush grade: 84.6 (third)
  • 0.30 missed tackles forced (+13 vs. three-year NFL average)
  • 5.3 yards after contact average (first)
  • Seven 10-plus yard runs (second)

The Lions have a top-eight implied point total, and the Vikings offer the third-most-favorable EPA against the run.

Swift is a top-five RB option in Week 3.

Tier 3 – Javonte Williams

Williams saw his snap share rise from 58% to 62% in the first two games, and he has been a pleasant surprise in the passing game. He has a 22% target share and is leading the Broncos’ backfield with a 56% route participation.

Given our limited data sample, we can’t be sure that his role is expanding, but if Williams takes over 65% of the work, it will be fun. 

Last year he profiled similarly to Jonathan Taylor and Nick Chubb in efficiency metrics. 

He is doing the same thing to start 2022:

PlayerMissed Tackles ForcedAverage Yards After ContactExplosive rushes
Javonte Williams0.323.8623%
Jonathan Taylor0.303.4518%
Nick Chubb0.493.6918%


Williams profiles as a borderline RB1 in Week 3.

Tier 3 – Alvin Kamara

Kamara (ribs) practiced in a limited fashion all week and draws the Panthers, who have allowed the second-most rushing attempts in regulation (72). 

Only the Titans and Bears have allowed more regulation rushing yards than Carolina (320).

If Kamara is healthy, he offers high-end RB2 upside this weekend.

Tier 3 – Najee Harris

Harris only has 74 regulation rushing yards (34th) in two games, and the Steelers are 4.5-point dogs at home against the Browns. Harris is well below the 10.5% NFL average in explosive rush rate with an uninspiring 4%. He is also underperforming league averages in missed tackles forced (0.08) and average yards after contact (2.44)

The Steelers carry the worst implied total on the Week 3 slate, and the Browns only allow 73 rushing yards per game in regulation (fourth-least).

As a result, Harris is a FADE in Week 3.

Tier 3 – James Conner

Saturday Update: Conner (ankle) is questionable after two limited practice sessions. If he can't go, Darrel Williams handled 56% of the snaps after Conner left the game in Week 2, including passing downs. He and Eno Benjamin are low-end RB3s if Conner is out. 

Tier 4 – Josh Jacobs

The Raiders are using a committee in the backfield, but it isn’t near as bad as we expected under Josh McDaniels. Jacobs isn’t getting much passing-down work (44% of two-minute offense), but he is bogarting 81% of the rushing attempts.

The Raiders are slight favorites on the road against the Titans, who have given up the second-most regulation rushing yards (334). 

Saturday Update: Jacobs (illness) didn’t travel with the team to Tennessee and is at risk of missing the game. If he can’t go, we could see Zamir White handle the early-down role with Brandon Bolden and Ameer Abdullah working in on passing downs. None should be trusted unless in deep league.

Jacobs is a low-end RB2 in Week 3.

Wide Receiver

TierPos RnkPlayerOppTotalSpreadImplied Points
1WR1Cooper Kuppat ARI48.5-3.526.00
1WR2Justin Jeffersonvs DET52.0-5.528.75
1WR3Davante Adamsvs TEN45.5-2.524.00
1WR4Stefon Diggsat MIA53.0-4.528.75
1WR5Ja'Marr Chaseat NYJ45.0-6.025.50
2WR6Amon-Ra St. Brownat MIN52.05.523.25
2WR7Tyreek Hillat BUF53.04.524.25
2WR8A.J. Brownvs WAS47.5-6.527.00
2WR9Jaylen Waddleat BUF53.04.524.25
2WR10Deebo Samuelat DEN44.0-1.522.75
2WR11Mike Williamsvs JAC42.5-3.022.75
2WR12Christian Kirkat LAC42.53.019.75
2WR13Michael Pittman Jr.vs KC50.55.522.50
2WR14Courtland Suttonvs SF44.01.521.25
2WR15Tee Higginsvs NYJ45.0-6.025.50
2WR16Marquise Brownat LAR48.53.522.50
3WR17Michael Thomasvs CAR41.0-2.521.75
3WR18Brandin Cooksat CHI39.03.018.00
3WR19DJ Mooreat NO41.02.519.25
3WR20Rashod Batemanat NE44.0-2.523.25
3WR21Diontae Johnsonat CLE38.54.517.00
3WR22Terry McLaurinvs PHI47.56.520.50
3WR23CeeDee Lambat NYG39.01.019.00
3WR24Curtis Samuelvs PHI47.56.520.50
3WR25Gabriel Davisat MIA53.0-4.528.75
3WR26Drake Londonat SEA42.01.020.50
3WR27DK Metcalfat ATL42.0-1.021.50
3WR28Keenan Allenvs JAC42.5-3.022.75
4WR29Allen Robinson IIvs ARI48.5-3.526.00
4WR30JuJu Smith-Schustervs IND50.5-5.528.00
4WR31Amari Coopervs PIT38.5-4.521.50
4WR32Jerry Jeudyvs SF44.01.521.25
4WR33Adam Thielenat DET52.0-5.528.75
4WR34Elijah Mooreat CIN45.06.019.50
4WR35Garrett Wilsonat CIN45.06.019.50
5WR36Brandon Aiyukvs DEN44.0-1.522.75
5WR37Tyler Lockettat ATL42.0-1.021.50
5WR38Jakobi Meyersvs BAL44.02.520.75
5WR39Jahan Dotsonat PHI47.56.520.50
5WR40DeVonta Smithat WAS47.5-6.527.00
5WR41Chris Olaveat CAR41.0-2.521.75
5WR42Treylon Burksat LV45.52.521.50
5WR43Darnell Mooneyat HOU39.0-3.021.00
5WR44Jarvis Landryat CAR41.0-2.521.75
5WR45Sterling Shepardvs DAL39.0-1.020.00
5WR46Allen Lazardvs TB42.01.020.50
6WR47Romeo Doubsat TB42.01.020.50
5WR48Chase Claypoolvs CLE38.54.517.00
5WR49D.J. Chark Jr.vs MIN52.05.523.25
5WR50Joshua Palmerat JAC42.5-3.022.75
5WR51Robbie Andersonvs NO41.02.519.25
5WR52Tyler Boydvs NYJ45.0-6.025.50
5WR53Julio Jonesvs GB42.0-1.021.50
5WR54Russell Gageat GB42.0-1.021.50
5WR55Zay Jonesat LAC42.53.019.75
6WR56George Pickensvs CLE38.54.517.00
6WR57Marquez Valdes-Scantlingvs IND50.5-5.528.00
6WR58Corey Davisvs CIN45.06.019.50
6WR59Mecole Hardmanat IND50.5-5.528.00
6WR60Isaiah McKenzieat MIA53.0-4.528.75
6WR61Robert Woodsat LV45.52.521.50
6WR62Greg Dortchvs LAR48.53.522.50
6WR63Nico Collinsat CHI39.03.018.00
6WR64K.J. Osbornvs DET52.0-5.528.75
6WR65Donovan Peoples-Jonesat PIT38.5-4.521.50
6WR66Noah Brownat NYG39.01.019.00
6WR67Marvin Jones LAC42.53.019.75
6WR68K.J. Hamlervs SF44.01.521.25
6WR69Devin Duvernayvs NE44.0-2.523.25
6WR70DeVante Parkervs BAL44.02.520.75
6WR71Michael Gallupat NYG39.01.019.00
6WR72Alec Piercevs KC50.55.522.50
6WR73Nelson Agholorvs BAL44.02.520.75
6WR74Parris Campbellat KC50.55.522.50
6WR75Mack Hollinsvs TEN45.5-2.524.00
6WR76Ashton Dulinat KC50.55.522.50
7WR77DeAndre Cartervs JAC42.5-3.022.75
7WR78A.J. Greenvs LAR48.53.522.50
7WR79Christian Watsonvs TB42.01.020.50
7WR80Kadarius Toneyvs DAL39.0-1.020.00
7WR81Jamison Crowderat MIA53.0-4.528.75
7WR82Breshad Perrimanat GB42.0-1.021.50
7WR83Richie James DAL39.0-1.020.00
7WR84Randall Cobbvs TB42.01.020.50
7WR85Equanimeous St. Brownvs HOU39.0-3.021.00
7WR86Quez Watkinsat WAS47.5-6.527.00
7WR87Josh Reynoldsat MIN52.05.523.25
7WR88Ben Skowronekvs ARI48.5-3.526.00
7WR89Nick Westbrook-Ikhineat LV45.52.521.50
7WR90Kendrick Bournevs BAL44.02.520.75
7WR91Olamide Zaccheausvs SEA42.01.020.50
7WR92Braxton Berriosvs CIN45.06.019.50
7WR93Byron Pringlevs HOU39.0-3.021.00
7WR94Jauan Jenningsat DEN44.0-1.522.75
7WR95David Sills Vvs DAL39.0-1.020.00
7WR96Skyy Moorevs IND50.5-5.528.00
7WR97Dante Pettisvs HOU39.0-3.021.00
7WR98Demarcus Robinsonvs NE44.0-2.523.25
7WR99Mike Strachanvs KC50.55.522.50
7WR100David Bellvs PIT38.5-4.521.50
7WR101Chris Moorevs CHI39.03.018.00
7WR102Cedrick Wilson Jr.vs BUF53.04.524.25
7WR103Scotty Millerat GB42.0-1.021.50
7WR104Bryan Edwardsat SEA42.01.020.50
7WR105Jalen Guytonvs JAC42.5-3.022.75
7WR106Kenny Golladayvs DAL39.0-1.020.00


Tier 1 – Cooper Kupp

Kupp is my No. 1 rated player for the weekend. He leads the NFL with 29 targets and draws a matchup against PFF’s worst-graded pass defense in Arizona (36.9). The Cardinals have coughed up 594 yards (second-most) and seven TDs (tied for the most) through the air in regulation play. 

The Rams and Cardinals tilt offers a top-three game total, and Los Angeles has a top-five implied point total.

No surprise here; Kupp is once again a SMASH play in Week 3. 


Sep 19, 2022; Orchard Park, New York, USA; Buffalo Bills wide receiver Stefon Diggs (14) warms up before a game against the Tennessee Titans at Highmark Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Mark Konezny-USA TODAY Sports

Tier 1 – Stefon Diggs

Diggs will face off against the man-happy Dolphins secondary that could be without Xavien Howard. Miami has offered up the eighth-most yards (531) through the air in regulation, and Diggs has the second-most yards (370) and four TDs.

The Bills and Dolphins could shoot out in a game tied for the best game total on the slate. No other team carries a higher implied point total than Buffalo.

Diggs is a chalky SMASH play this weekend.

Tier 1 – Ja’Marr Chase & Tier 2 – Tee Higgins

Chase and Higgins draw a matchup with PFF’s fourth-worst graded pass defense in the Jets. Chase ranks No. 9 in regulation receiving yards (183), and Higgins tied for the team target-share lead in Week 2 (27%).

The Bengals have a top-six implied point total, and their two lead WRs are SMASH options in Week 2.

Tier 3 – Diontae Johnson

Johnson is dominating the Steelers' passing attack with a 30% target share.

PlayerPosRoutesTPRRTargetsADOTAir YardsEZ Tgts3rd/4th Down TargetsPA TargetsPPR
Diontae JohnsonWR96%27%30%9.736%0%30%10%12.1
Pat FreiermuthTE78%27%24%6.921%100%26%25%12.4
Chase ClaypoolWR96%15%17%5.712%0%13%0%8.0
George PickensWR93%8%9%21.524%0%9%0%2.3


Unfortunately, Pittsburgh is dropping back to pass 32.5 times per game (28th). However, they get a plus matchup against the Browns, who struggled to contain the Jets and Garrett Wilson in Week 2. Cleveland has allowed 563 (fifth-most) regulation passing yards and five TDs (third-most).

Johnson is a low-end WR2 for Week 3.

Tier 3 – Curtis Samuel

The Washington coaching staff is going out of their way to design optimal looks for Samuel.

His targets are coming in a variety of ways, per PFF data:

  • 50% play action
  • 32% motion
  • 27% screen
  • 14% RPO

The Commanders are moving him all over the formation, with 67% of routes coming from the slot and 5% from the backfield.

He has also handled 10% of their rushing attempts.

Samuel is a low-end WR2 as long as the team continues to scheme him up in such beneficial ways as a mismatch utility player.

Tier 3 – Allen Robinson and JuJu Smith-Schuster

Robinson (8.8) and Smith-Schuster (9.0) haven’t been able to take advantage of the high-flying offenses they call home. However, both get plus matchups in Week 3, along with large implied point totals, providing them another chance to get things right.

They are mid-range WR3s with a chance to SMASH.

Tier 3 – Keenan Allen

Saturday Update: Allen (hamstring) missed practice on Friday along with several other Chargers, including Justin Herbert. Allen is only a high-end WR3 this week if Herbert plays due to the risk of re-injury to both players.

Tier 4 - Jerry Jeudy

Jeudy didn’t practice on Wednesday and has one of the tougher matchups on the slate. The 49ers grade as PFF’s No. 1 coverage unit (82.9) in 2022, but they haven’t faced much competition from the Bears and Seahawks.

Vegas doesn’t expect big fireworks (44.5 game total) in a matchup where both offenses could look to slow things down and play keep-away.

Saturday Update: Jeudy (shoulder/ribs) missed practice Thursday and got in some light work on Friday. If he can’t play against the 49ers, Courtland Sutton moves into the top-10.

Jeudy gets a slight downgrade thanks to his injury and questionable matchup in Week 3.


Tight End

TierPos RnkPlayerOppTotalSpreadImplied Points
1TE1Travis Kelcevs IND50.5-5.528.00
1TE2Mark Andrewsvs NE44.0-2.523.25
1TE3Darren Wallerat TEN45.5-2.524.00
2TE4Kyle Pittsvs SEA42.01.020.50
2TE5Dallas Goedertvs WAS47.5-6.527.00
2TE6George Kittlevs DEN44.0-1.522.75
3TE7Zach Ertzat LAR48.53.522.50
3TE8Pat Freiermuthat CLE38.54.517.00
3TE9Tyler Higbeeat ARI48.5-3.526.00
3TE10T.J. Hockensonat MIN52.05.523.25
3TE11Gerald Everettvs JAC42.5-3.022.75
4TE12Evan Engramat LAC42.53.019.75
4TE13Logan Thomasvs PHI47.56.520.50
4TE14Dawson Knoxat MIA53.0-4.528.75
4TE15Hayden Hurstvs NYJ45.0-6.025.50
4TE16Irv Smith Jr.vs DET52.0-5.528.75
4TE17Tyler Conklinat CIN45.06.019.50
4TE18David Njokuat PIT38.5-4.521.50
4TE19Hunter Henryvs BAL44.02.520.75
4TE20Albert Okwuegbunamvs SF44.01.521.25
5TE21Robert Tonyanvs TB42.01.020.50
5TE22Mike Gesickiat BUF53.04.524.25
5TE23Juwan Johnsonvs CAR41.0-2.521.75
5TE24Cole Kmetat HOU39.0-3.021.00
6TE25Noah Fantvs ATL42.0-1.021.50
6TE26Isaiah Likelyat NE44.0-2.523.25
6TE27Taysom Hillvs CAR41.0-2.521.75
6TE28Austin Hoopervs LV45.52.521.50
6TE29Cameron Brateat GB42.0-1.021.50
6TE30Jonnu Smithvs BAL44.02.520.75
6TE31Harrison Bryantat PIT38.5-4.521.50
6TE32Kylen Gransonat KC50.55.522.50
6TE33Mo Alie-Coxat KC50.55.522.50
6TE34Ian Thomasat NO41.02.519.25










Tier 1 – Darren Waller

Saturday Update: Waller moves into Tier 1 alongside Travis Kelce and Mark Andrews with Hunter Renfrow (concussion) ruled out. We could see 50 to 60% of the targets funnel towards Waller and Davante Adams this weekend against the Titans, who have allowed 505 yards and six touchdowns passing in regulation pay. 

Tier 2 – Kyle Pitts

Pitts posted a juicy 91% route participation in Week 2 but the targets still didn’t come his way. Historically, when tight ends eclipse the 80% route participation threshold, they are almost always top-12 options, so Pitts is due for an improved outing.

He gets help from the Seahawks, who rank last in EPA versus the pass, per PFF data.

The second-year tight end remains a high-end TE1 for Week 2.

Tier 2 – George Kittle

Saturday Update: Kittle (groin) was removed from the injury report for the 49ers' Week 3 matchup against the Broncos. He climbs inside my top-six. 

Deebo Samuel and Brandon Aiyuk will challenge for targets, but we should see a slight boost in pass attempts with fewer Trey Lance scrambles (11%) and designed-rush attempts (15%).

Tier 4 – Albert Okwuegbunam

After an encouraging 74% route participation in Week 1, the Broncos went back to a three-way rotation at tight end in Week 2.

PlayerPosWeekRoutesTPRRTargetsADOTAir YardsEZ Tgts3rd/4th Down TargetsPA TargetsPPR
Albert OkwuegbunamWR174%15%12%2.23%0%8%40%8.3


Okwuegbunam faces off against a 49ers unit with the second-best PFF coverage grade, making him a tough name to click on when making lineups.

Consider Okwuegbunam a FADE in Week 3.



  • Total = Game total per BetMGM
  • Implied points = Team expected points based on game total and spread
  • Route participation = routes divided by team pass plays per PFF
  • LDD = long  down and distance – third and fourth down with three or more yards to go per PFF
  • SDD = short down and distance – second, third and fourth down with two or fewer yards to go per PFF
  • TPRR = targets per route run
  • YPRR = yards per route run
  • Explosive rush rate = percentage of runs that go for 10-plus yards per PFF
  • Explosive target rate = percentage of targets that go for 15-plus yards per PFF
  • Regulation = excludes overtime
  • Injuries: Q = Questionable; D = Doubtful (typically removed from ranks on Saturday); GTD = game-time decision