
Week 3 Fantasy Football Receiver Score Buys & Fades: Parker Washington Reaching New Level
Zain Dhanani presents Receiver Score for Week 3, with several WRs getting buy, fade and other scores in fantasy football.
Receiver Score sifts through two weeks of usage and deployment to bring you the buys, fades and much more. These are all incorporated into my Fantasy Football Rankings.
For early season here is the key:
- Strong Buy = significantly better than their ADP in terms of positional value
- Buy = better than their ADP in terms of positional value
- Conditional Buy = worth consideration if the conditional situation plays out favorably
- Buy Low = someone whose perceived value is below their implied value—someone to trade for at a low cost
- Neutral = close to their ADP in terms of positional value
- Fade = below their ADP in terms of positional value
- Sell = someone the model doesn’t believe will play at their existing value
Jaguars Receiver Score Fantasy Football Takeaways
Parker Washington: Strong Buy
Through Week 2, Parker Washington is 3rd in the descriptive version of Receiver Score (grades their historical performance), which means he’s playing at an ELITE level. The model can take time to adjust for the forward-looking version, because it blends what it knows from history, so he’s WR19 there, but I have a feeling in 1-2 more weeks he will be in the WR1 group. Washington has earned a target on 39% of his routes. The increase from 72% route share to 90% in Week 2 in a more competitive game is giving the model confidence in his role this season. His route distribution of 11 in-breakers and 11 play-action routes in Liam Coen's offense translates very nicely to fantasy football production. The target rate will assuredly come down from Week 2, but a larger route share gives him room to keep producing as a WR2 with WR1 potential for the rest of the season (yes, I'm going there).
Jakobi Meyers: Buy
Jakobi Meyers has the highest differential in expected TPRR vs actual TPRR based on the Receiver Score model, so he’s due to produce. Through two games he has only 3 targets (Parker Washington has 18), but the model knows he drew the toughest coverage assignment in Week 2 against Patrick Surtain II on 45% of his routes. The team chose him to be its WR2 above Brian Thomas so far in terms of route share and he’s still running routes that are valuable for fantasy in a good offense, so he’s a flex-worthy player in the right matchups.
Brian Thomas: Fade
Thomas' route share improved from 56% to 74%, but he still trails Washington and Meyers in playing time. He’s actually performing well with an expected TPRR of 21.1% and a per-route Receiver Score grade of WR22, so playing time would boost him up closer to a WR3. However, we live in a world where he’s not getting the route share needed to be valuable and the model places him in WR4 or WR5 territory at the moment. The deployment is still OK but not great—he leads the team in % of vertical routes and lowest % routes in motion. The positives are that he leads the team in % of routes off play-action and % of quick routes, which are raising his score. He’s going to sit in WR4 territory for me most weeks.
Brenton Strange: Fade
Brenton Strange reached 81% route share in Week 2 and had only 2 targets, which was an increase in playing time, but not enough to generate meaningful fantasy football production. Unfortunately the Receiver Score model views him as a mid-tier TE2. The biggest problem is less about talent - he has too much target competition that lowers his expected target rate. On top of that he’s running the highest % of vertical routes amongst TEs in the NFL, which is not great for fantasy football. He’s just a streamer unless a WR gets hurt.
Cardinals Receiver Score Fantasy Football Takeaways
Michael Wilson: Buy
Michael Wilson is still a WR3 or WR4, at least while Jacoby Brissett is running this offense. He’s running 96% of the routes and has an expected TPRR of 20.1%, compared to his actual of 16.4%. The positives are that he’s getting a lot of quick-game routes that can give a lot of underneath catch-and-run opportunities, but he’s still getting a lot of vertical work and barely used in motion. He currently grades out as a WR4 through two weeks with WR3 value in the rest-of-season model.
Marvin Harrison Jr.: Fade
I don’t think this should surprise anyone, but Marvin Harrison Jr. is being used as a deep threat and Receiver Score does not like it—nor does it like his entire environment. He has the fourth-highest average depth of route, fourth-highest rate of vertical routes and is almost never used in the slot or in motion. He’s getting no fantasy cheat codes and is at-best option No. 3 in a low -olume pass offense. It is time to move on from Marv—to-date and rest-of-season models have him as a WR5.
Trey McBride: Buy
He’s the TE1 in Receiver Score rest-of-season—the only concern is if/when Carson Beck starts will it make his statlines mortal? I don’t need to write up how good McBride is.
Falcons Receiver Score Fantasy Football Takeaways
Drake London: Buy Low
The good news is that Michael Penix is finally getting the start against Green Bay. The even better news is that Drake London is one of the biggest underperformers in expected TPRR vs actual TPRR. He’s running a lot of quick-game and in-breaking routes, in motion at the snap on 17% of his routes (good), and 39% of his routes are from the slot (solid). He just needs a competent QB and his numbers will get back on track. The sky-is-falling perception does not meet reality—this is the perfect time to buy low. The model has him as a back-end WR1 ROS, while the backward-looking model has him as a WR2.
Kyle Pitts: Fade
While Receiver Score still believes in London, it does not feel similarly about Kyle Pitts. He’s very low in terms of expected points per route, expected TPRR, has a high route depth, and is near the top in % of vertical routes for tight ends. The team also rarely uses him in motion - he scores near the bottom in that among all TEs. I still want to see if the role deployment was just a Cooper Rush thing and am leaving the door open for an offensive overhaul with Penix, but right now it’s looking BAD.
Ravens Receiver Score Fantasy Football Takeaways
Zay Flowers: Buy
We have only 11 routes to judge, but those 11 routes have him at the top of the Receiver Score model. We need to see how he performs coming off the hamstring, but the model believes he’s a WR1 ROS. His profile on those 11 routes were a bunch of quick routes and in-breakers off of play-action, which is fantasy gold, especially with Lamar Jackson at the helm.
Rashod Bateman: Conditional Buy
In Week 2, the Ravens gave Rashod Bateman a more favorable route tree—removing many vertical routes with more in and out breaking routes. They also moved him around a bit more and let him play from the slot. Most of this seems to be as a result of Zay Flowers being out and Receiver Score thinks he’s only valuable as a WR3 or Flex play if Flowers is out.
Mark Andrews: Buy
Receiver Score has Mark Andrews as a TE1 ROS given his deployment. 14 quick-game routes and 9 in-breakers on 51 routes, with Baltimore pairing 10 of them with play-action and putting him in motion on 10 more. The play design is doing a great job of putting him in places where he’s open and Jackson loves to throw to.
Bills Receiver Score Fantasy Football Takeaways
DJ Moore: Neutral
The shoulder injury cut DJ Moore's second game to 9 routes after he participated on 81% of Buffalo's dropbacks in Week 1. The model is so-so on DJM’s role so far. On one side—it’s better than his deployment last year, but on the other it recognizes he’s still doing a lot of work deeper down the field, he’s not used in motion, and he’s not getting the coveted in-breakers. He just kind of sits where he is as a low-end WR2 or high-end WR3.
Keon Coleman: Conditional Buy
Keon Coleman is a short-term buy only if Moore is out, after his participation increased from 59% to 74%. The model is not favorable to him and the type of deployment he’s getting, but he would run a ton of routes in a prolific offense, so the model has him on the WR3/Flex range in Week 3 if Moore is out. Outside of that, he does not belong on rosters.
Khalil Shakir: Fade
Strong per-route profile this season—working further down the field than in seasons past, but the 59% route participation and ascension of Dalton Kincaid makes Khalil Shakir a WR5. He’s the type of player who becomes a roster clogger because you’re hoping for the week where he gets more work and it never comes—this is a classic slot-only issue.
Dalton Kincaid: Buy
Everything for Dalton Kincaid has improved, chief among them is the route participation at 69%. Outside of that, the profile is completely different: 40% of his routes have come off play-action (19% in 2025), 31% of his routes are when he’s used in motion (20% in 2025), more out-breakers and flats instead of verticals compared to 2025. He’s also just playing very freaking well.
Panthers Receiver Score Fantasy Football Takeaways
Tetairoa McMillan: Buy
The Receiver Score model believes McMillan’s role has been upgraded year-over-year. He’s getting more slot usage and playing less of a vertical receiver role—they’ve established him as a true three-level threat. He’s 5th in expected fantasy points when you grade each play’s expectations among WRs. It’s a great role and the model has him as a high-end WR2 for the rest of the season. It also helps that the team has a high pass rate over expected, which boosts prospective future value.
Jalen Coker: Strong Buy
The model likes Jalen Coker far more than his WR55 draft price. Coker has an elite Receiver Score through Week 2 and is playing an every down role for the Panthers, who are moving him around the formation a lot this season. His route tree includes 13 out-breakers, 11 in-breakers and 20 routes off play-action - that’s a ton of positive deployment. The model has him as a high-end WR2 ROS.
Darren Waller: Buy
Waller is hard for the model to get right because it won’t like his projected lower route participation, so I’ll just say this: the backward-looking model has him as TE11 so far this season, so if he gets ramped up and eventually gets a 65%+ route share, he could be dangerous in the right matchups.
Bears Receiver Score Fantasy Football Takeaways
Colston Loveland: Buy Low
Colston Loveland's 21.0 expected fantasy points compared to his 1.3 actual points is exactly why he’s a buy low. It’s the biggest gap the model has for any TE or WR combined. The model still has him as a top-5 TE ROS and believes his overall deployment is good enough to produce strong numbers in fantasy football - just not the elite level most thought would happen. I’ve received questions about Loveland or LaPorta for the rest of season and I’d be happy to bet on Loveland in that situation.
Luther Burden: Fade
In Week 1, Luther Burden graded as a WR3 and in Week 2 he graded as a low-end WR2. The per-route grade is good but not great, so it’s not all route participation based. The model believes he’s a WR3 ROS. If his route share goes up, he could get back to WR2 levels, but for now I have to agree.
Rome Odunze: Fade
Even with a 93% route share in Week 2, Receiver Score still valued Rome Odunze as WR55. The role is not conducive to consistent fantasy production. He’s 7th highest in average depth of route, meaning he’s a deep threat. This seems like a roster-clogger situation, but I’m willing to give it another week or two.
Bengals Receiver Score Fantasy Football Takeaways
Ja'Marr Chase: Neutral
Receiver Score loves Ja'Marr Chase to be a top-5 WR ROS. You don’t need the model to tell you that, but it’s reassuring.
Tee Higgins: Neutral
Same Tee Higgins as always, but the model dropped Higgins a few spots into a mid-tier WR2 spot because his route participation is lower than expected through two games. Just something to pay attention to, but he is still someone you start weekly.
Mike Gesicki: Fade
I only have Mike Gesicki in here because of Week 1. He’s not going to have the route participation to matter in most leagues, but his per-route profile is also not good for fantasy football, so leave him on the wire (even in TEP).
Browns Receiver Score Fantasy Football Takeaways
Denzel Boston: Sell
Boston has scored on 2 deep touchdowns, which is pulling his value up, but his role leaves a lot to be desired. He’s purely playing a vertical outside WR role with no help from motion or his route tree. It will be hard to convert on those deep plays every week, so he’s a sell to me.
KC Concepcion: Stash
Cleveland has given KC Concepcion 70% route participation and 10 targets across his first two games, including 9 in-breakers and 13 routes off play-action. The rookie still needs to earn a larger route share. The deployment looks good (scored as WR17 in Week 2), so some better QB play and higher route share could make him interesting down the stretch.
Harold Fannin: Buy Low
Week 1 was gross for everyone on the Browns, so I didn’t want to overreact. In Week 2, Fannin was back up to TE7 in terms of his Receiver Score. The ROS model has him at TE5, which is probably too bullish, but I can comfortably say he’s a TE1 who many perceive as a poor value. I would be interested in acquiring it because I know the cost to get him is not high. Maybe Dalton Schultz, who should do well in Week 3, is enough to get it done.
Cowboys Receiver Score Fantasy Football Takeaways
CeeDee Lamb: Buy
CeeDee Lamb's has a top 6 per-route grade so far this season and his ROS grade is also top 6. him He’s doing a ton of quick routes and motion on his routes. The 50.7 PPR points are ahead of the expected points model, but he is in a great offense that should continue to carry him to a mid-tier WR1 season.
George Pickens: Buy Low
George Pickens still has a great Receiver Score and it just so happens the offense has funneled through Lamb to start the season. His 15 quick-game routes provide some balance alongside 29 verticals, so there will still be quiet weeks when the downfield throws don't connect. The model has him firmly as a WR2. I’ve had some questions about Pickens from followers and the model and I agree—we are not worried about him.
Ryan Flournoy: Buy in Larger Leagues
Ryan Flournoy is getting a useful amount of work behind Lamb and Pickens, with 11 targets on 76% route participation and 14 quick-game routes to support the PPR case. His per-route grade is good enough to like him as WR4 depth in leagues that start several WRs. He is the team’s primary slot receiver.
Jake Ferguson: Sell
Jake Ferguson's 6 targets trail all three starting WRs and Javonte Williams, who has 9, so he's actually fifth in Dallas' early target order. His per-route grade of 67 is decent, but 68% participation has been worth only 15.8 expected points against 22.9 actual, a difficult combination to trust for weekly TE1 production. I'd sell that start for a TE with a larger role.
Broncos Receiver Score Fantasy Football Takeaways
Jaylen Waddle: Buy
Jaylen Waddle has an elite per-route score with a ton of motion, slot work and in-breakers. They had odd route participation for him in Week 2, which is the only reason why Receiver Score has him as a middling WR2. If that ticks back up, we may get a low-end WR1.
Courtland Sutton: Fade
Courtland Sutton already has 88% route participation, but a per-route grade of 34, which is WR5 territory. The 17 quick-game routes and 11 in-breakers give him chances to get involved, but the model has him as a WR4 ROS - another roster clogger.
Pat Bryant: Stash
Motion on 15 of Pat Bryant's 45 routes shows Denver is putting effort into being unique with his deployment, and his participation increased from 64% to 75% in the second game. If somehow he overtakes Sutton—watch out. Someone to keep on your bench in deeper leagues.
Evan Engram: Fade
Evan Engram's route share went from 67% to 38%, so he’s droppable and probably not worth a stream unless we see the participation tick back up. Sometimes with Receiver Score it’s as easy as “doesn’t play enough."
Lions Receiver Score Fantasy Football Takeaways
Amon-Ra St. Brown: Buy
Amon-Ra St. Brown has 26 targets on 96% participation, and Detroit has used play-action on 26 routes and motion on 19 to keep helping its best target earner get involved. An elite Receiver Score keeps him among the model's best WR1. Great role and great fit!
Jameson Williams: Fade
Jameson Williams was drafted as WR23, but it’s clear through Week 2 that he’s going to be priority 3 (or 4) in most games. His per-route grade is average—he has 26 in-breakers alongside 19 verticals, which is a good enough mix for his profile (even though we’d love fewer verticals). Production is coming, but he’s not going to be more than the boom-bust WR2/WR3 we have seen the past few seasons, which the model confirms..
Isaac TeSlaa: Fade
Isaac TeSlaa's 25 verticals and only 2 quick-game routes proves he’s a bona fide deep threat. He’s barely performed despite 78% route participation. His per-route grade sits near the bottom of the WR pool. He needs an injury and a role change to produce value.
Sam LaPorta: Buy
Receiver Score thinks the world of Sam LaPorta and has his backward-looking score as TE2 overall. To date, the model thinks he should have 36.5 PPR points instead of his 27 PPR points (underproducing). The ROS model thinks he is a top 6 TE and while I don’t feel as confident, I think top 8 is safe for him.
Packers Receiver Score Fantasy Football Takeaways
Jayden Reed's neck injury could leave more routes available and distribute roles a bit differently moving forward.
Matthew Golden: Buy
Matthew Golden's route participation rose from 87% to 91%, so he’s getting elite playing time. There are a ton of vertical routes as part of the route tree, so the model doesn’t LOVE the bet, but with Reed down, we could see a slightly different deployment. Regardless it’s a full-time WR in a good offense, so that’s WR3 or flex worthy.
Christian Watson: Strong Buy
Receiver Score believes Christian Watson is WR12 overall ROS and I think that’s perfectly fair. After years of WR rotations, the Packers have no choice but to lean into Watson and ramped him up to 94% route share in Week 2. His deployment is also way different from 2025 and he’s technically below his expected TPRR right now.
Tucker Kraft: Buy
Kraft's 48% route participation jumped to 84%, so I'm moving him out of Neutral—finally! The model already liked his per-route grade of 82, but the ACL ramp up had limited a workload that includes 10 flats/screens and 9 play-action routes across the two games. He drew only 3 targets in Week 2, but the playing time is getting closer to what we expected and puts him back in my lineup as a TE1. Reed going down potentially for the season also helps Kraft get the designed YAC plays. The only concern I have is that the team could opt to have him help block instead of running routes a few more times a game given the offensive line injuries, but I still have him as a mid-tier TE1.
Texans Receiver Score Fantasy Football Takeaways
Nico Collins: Hold
Nico Collins missed Week 2 with the hamstring injury, but he graded out as elite in Week 1. His teammates that replaced him leave a lot to be desired, so the model absolutely loves him ROS as a back-end WR1 once he’s back.
Kayshon Boutte: Watch
Kayshon Boutte reached 82% participation in Week 2, but 30 verticals among 77 routes make him hard to trust as a fill-in for Collins. His per-route grade is BAD and it reflects the concern about what he's being asked to do. The playing time will make him a DFS tournament play in case he catches some deep balls against a single-high defense with a poor secondary.
Xavier Hutchinson: Conditional Buy
Xavier Hutchinson is a pure volume play while Collins is out. His per-route grade sits in the bottom 10%, and Houston's 61 dropbacks let him run 53 routes to reach 8 targets in Week 2. He’s in flex consideration if there’s another Collins absence, but other than that he should be left on the wire.
Dalton Schultz: Buy
Receiver Score really likes Schultz as a ROS TE1—it recognizes that he’s going to be a top-2 target earner in this offense. There’s the obvious short-term boost if Collins is out. Indianapolis ranks last in the early linebacker coverage grades (also poor at slot CB, and safety), so this is a good week to keep starting him.
Colts Receiver Score Fantasy Football Takeaways
Josh Downs: Buy
Alec Pierce's heel injury and IR stint, which is undefined in terms of timeline, leaves the door open for Josh Downs to continue his 93% route participation, which is elite in its own right. Couple that with his per-route grade in the good but not elite category and you have the makings of a potential WR2 ROS. He comes with 16 quick-game routes, 10 out-breakers and 19 routes off play-action, a mix the model currently likes for a WR3 ranking. He is a riser in the model and a few more weeks of proving out his role will make him climb to WR2 consideration. Week 4 vs the porous Commanders pass defense is staring at me in the face.
Keenan Allen: Fade
Keenan Allen's participation fell from 76% to 61% in a game where Pierce left, and Laquon Treadwell actually ran more routes than him in Week 2. Now the team signed Darius Slayton, who presumably fills the Pierce deep-threat role. It seems like he has his clear pass-down role that will sit between 50-70% route share, so that makes him uninteresting. If he ticks up to 80%+, the model thinks he can be a WR4 with his deployment as the short chain mover for PPR leagues.
Tyler Warren: Buy
The model still likes Warren as a top-5 TE. The high route share, usage in motion, play-action, and QB-friendly routes make him an easy buy if anyone is worried about his production to date. He’s a must start even in tough matchups.
Chiefs Receiver Score Fantasy Football Takeaways
Rashee Rice: Fade
Rashee Rice was drafted as WR14, but his expected TPRR is 18.9%, which is not high-end WR2 production. He’s doing a lot more work deeper down the field than last year. The model likes him in Week 3, but ROS it has him as WR22, which could fall as we get more proof that this is just a completely new role.
Xavier Worthy: Neutral
The route share is encouraging, but the model does not like the deployment for fantasy football. It values Xavier Worthy as a WR3 based purely on route participation in an offense that should put up a decent amount of points. I disagree and think he’s a roster clogger, but I understand the argument the model is making. With the split decision, we’re leaving him as neutral. However, Week 3 is a great matchup for him.
Tyquan Thornton: Fade
Tyquan Thornton is getting a ton of low-value work—mainly operating as a deep threat similar to how Marquez Valdes-Scantling used to. He belongs as a DFS spend-down play with the hope he scores a long TD.
Travis Kelce: Buy
Receiver Score REALLY likes Travis Kelce and has him as TE4 ROS. Given his current deployment the model believes he should sustain his current 24.2% TPRR, which is very strong at TE. I can’t personally put him in my top-4 ROS, but top-10 seems fair.
Chargers Receiver Score Fantasy Football Takeaways
Ladd McConkey: Buy Low
Receiver Score LOVED Ladd McConkey in Week 1, but the injury-riddled Week 2 score had him as more of a WR4. The truth is probably in the middle even. If he recovers from injury, I think we see a similar deployment to how they used him as a three-level threat, in motion, and out of the slot in Week 1. He’s a WR2 given the concerns of the offense.
Quentin Johnston: Fade
All offseason the team talked about using Quentin Johnston in a YAC role, but instead he’s close to the league lead in % of vertical routes. He’s also not receiving the route participation we thought he would by splitting with Tre Harris. He needs an injury to be relevant—the ROS model has him at WR54.
Tre Harris: Fade
Everything I wrote about QJ is roughly the same for Tre Harris, except his profile looks even worse than Johston’s. I feel comfortable dropping now.
Raiders Receiver Score Fantasy Football Takeaways
Tre Tucker: Buy
The ROS Receiver Score model is pretty high on Tre Tucker and has him comfortably as a mid-tier WR3 he’s getting a lot of routes in motion at the snap to generate free releases and a bunch of routes with play action. I’ve written about Tucker in nearly every Receiver Score article as someone the model likes and I think it’s time to take it seriously.
Jalen Nailor: Fade
With Jalen Nailor it’s pretty simple: he’s not running any high-value routes, he’s not on the field for play-action, and does not go in motion often. He’s droppable.
Brock Bowers: Hold
He has the talent to be the best TE in the NFL—hold until he’s healthy.
Michael Mayer: Stream if Bowers Is Out
Michael Mayer got a tough draw in Week 2 with Derwin James, but the route share has been very strong. Week 1 the team went run-heavy since they were winning most of the game, so that did not help his popcorn stats, but he graded well. The stream is probably over soon with Bowers nearing a return, but I do think he’s a TE handcuff that’s a TE1-level player when Bowers is out.
Dolphins Receiver Score Fantasy Football Takeaways
Malik Washington: Fade
Receiver Score has Malik Washington as WR50 ROS—not someone it’s into given that getting significant route participation is part of the equation. He’s not running high-value routes, the team environment is not set up to score a lot, and most of his routes are in 11 personnel, which makes it harder to earn targets (competing with an extra WR).
Caleb Douglas: Fade
Through Week 2, Douglas is WR91 in the backward-looking model. Let that sync in. This is a bad fantasy football situation—the deep threat in a bad offense that is not using any of the fantasy football cheat codes to get him favorable situations.
Chris Bell: Watch
Chris Bell's participation fell from 54% to 39%. I don’t think we can gain enough insight into his deployment yet. He’s mainly been a deep threat, which is not the way he should be utilized. The score is incredibly low because of it. I’m still watching to see when the ramp up happens.
Greg Dulcich: Fade
Greg Dulcich grades out as a low-end TE2. Environment doesn’t help, especially since he’s mainly running routes in 11 personnel, where TEs are least likely to be targeted. He’s not someone you need to pay attention to for most of the season.
Vikings Receiver Score Fantasy Football Takeaways
Justin Jefferson: Buy
Justin Jefferson has 100% participation and 15 targets, and his per-route grade of 92 comes with 12 in-breakers and 15 play-action routes to help him attack the middle. The model still likes him as a mid-tier WR1—the three-level focal point.
Jordan Addison: Fade
Jordan Addison's 94% participation looks useful until we get to his per-route grade of 19 (not great, Bob). The 18 verticals on 51 routes have contributed to only 14.3 expected points, about 0.28 per route, so the gap to actual production doesn't make this a role I want to buy. Kyler Murray's return helps the offense, but Addison still needs better deployment to be a weekly WR3.
T.J. Hockenson: Buy
Surprisingly, the model is higher on Hockenson than consensus. It believes his 19% TPRR is sustainable - it just needs to see the route participation continue to be consistent before it ticks him all the way up into low end TE1 range.
Patriots Receiver Score Fantasy Football Takeaways
Romeo Doubs: Conditional Buy
The opening from A.J. Brown's absence makes Romeo Doubs a WR3/flex buy. The overall scheme isn’t enhancing his efficiency, but he had a WR2-level grade in Week 2 with Brown out, so short term he’s in the WR3/Flex conversation.
Mack Hollins: Fade
Mack Hollins is doing the deep-threat work and the model doesn’t find that valuable—he’s a fade even while Brown is out.
Hunter Henry: Fade
The model does not like Hunter Henry and believes his role is worth a 14% TPRR, which is not good enough for fantasy football relevancy. There are not any cheat code deployments that would typically boost a player when he’s running routes, so he’s just a mid-tier TE2.
A.J. Brown: Hold on IR
Brown is on injured reserve, and 16 routes before the injury don't give us a meaningful sample to judge, but the model did like what it saw. Concerns about his knee coming into the season felt gone until the injury. Hopefully the new injury doesn’t hold him back upon his return.
Saints Receiver Score Fantasy Football Takeaways
Chris Olave: Buy
Receiver Score likes Chris Olave ROS—he has an elite per-route grade and is running routes on 91% of the dropbacks, so we’re getting both the quality and the playing time. The Saints are giving him a mix of quick-game routes and verticals, which gives Tyler Shough options to get him the ball underneath and still take shots downfield. He’s already earned 23 targets through two games, and I’m buying him as a WR1 for the rest of the season.
Devaughn Vele: Buy in Deeper Leagues
Devaughn Vele’s 93% route participation is the reason I’m interested in deeper leagues—it’s hard to find that much playing time on waivers. He’s earned 15 targets and gets a mix of quick-game routes and verticals, so Shough has opportunities to find him at different levels of the field. Receiver Score is less excited about the quality of those routes with a per-route grade of 52, but the volume is enough for me to buy him as a WR4.
Juwan Johnson: Buy
Receiver Score still likes Juwan Johnson as a back-end TE1, but the drop from 82% route participation to 59% is something we need to watch. His per-route grade of 62 is decent, and I like how New Orleans is using him underneath with flats, screens and quick-game routes. He’s also been in motion on 18 routes, which is encouraging for how the Saints are trying to get him involved. I’m still buying, but I want to see the playing time come back before expecting more.
Jets Receiver Score Fantasy Football Takeaways
Garrett Wilson: Buy
Garrett Wilson is running routes on 86% of the dropbacks with a per-route grade that’s near elite. The model likes the in-breakers and out-breakers he’s getting, especially with the Jets using play-action on 15 of his routes to help him get open. The 14 targets haven’t turned into a huge workload yet, but I’m still buying him as a WR2 based on how he’s being used.
Adonai Mitchell: Fade
Receiver Score isn’t particularly into Adonai Mitchell’s routes with a per-route grade of average—he’s still running a lot of verticals, though the Jets are giving him some quick-game routes and in-breakers too. He’s grading out as a deep threat.
Eagles Receiver Score Fantasy Football Takeaways
DeVonta Smith: Neutral
Everything in his profile suggests the exact deployment we thought we would get from DeVonta Smith. The model has him as a mid-tier WR2, similar to where he was drafted. Without Dallas Goedert we could see everything uptick.
Makai Lemon: Stash
There’s a ton that are favorable pieces to what’s going on with Lemon—he’s in motion a ton, playing a lot of slot, running routes in play action—the only problem is his execution is below average. To be fair, that should be expected for a rookie who missed a ton of training camp, but he will get ample time to prove himself. Keep him and hope his play matches his deployment.
Dontayvion Wicks: Fade
Dontayvion Wicks is significantly outperforming his expected fantasy points by a large margin. His deployment leaves a lot to be desired, as he is the team’s deep threat at the moment with very little motion or other cheat codes. Also, the Eagles reduced his route share in Week 2 in favor of Lemon. He’s best left on the wire.
Steelers Receiver Score Fantasy Football Takeaways
DK Metcalf: Buy Low
DK Metcalf is the biggest buy low in the model. He’s underperforming in TPRR and expected fantasy points by a large margin. Receiver Score has him as WR15 ROS from play-action dig routes, quick routes and elite route participation.
Michael Pittman Jr.: Fade
It sounds like Michael Pittman will be dealing with a foot injury for a while even if he does play, so his performance and role pre-injury are pretty meaningless. In 12-team leagues I’d consider dropping him, because his grade in Week 1 was very bad when he was healthy.
Pat Freiermuth: Fade
Freiermuth has a 67% route participation, which is already not good enough to be worth much in a bad offense. His Receiver Score profiles him as a bottom TE2 with his playing time, team environment and deployment. He’s a streamer at best.
Seahawks Receiver Score Fantasy Football Takeaways
Jaxon Smith-Njigba: Buy
I’m not going to waste your time—this is the WR1 overall. He’s elite regardless of who the QB is.
Rashid Shaheed: Buy in Deeper Leagues
Rashid Shaheed is getting the opportunities, being used in creative ways, but now he’s just not performing well. He has an F receiving score at the moment and that’s cratering him to WR60. Leave him on the wire for now.
AJ Barner: Fade
The story is very short and sweet for AJ Barner—he is a back-end TE2 ROS based on the Receiver Score model. Leave him on the wire.
49ers Receiver Score Fantasy Football Takeaways
Mike Evans: Buy
Mike Evans' performance to-date per Receiver Score is a mid-tier WR2. He’s playing the typical X Shananhan role, which produced the a top Receiver Score from Brandon Aiyuk. The deployment is good and fits the skill set. The big weeks are coming if he’s healthy.
Deebo Samuel: Buy
Deebo Samuel's participation had already increased from 53% to 80% before Demarcus Robinson's injury, so there’s a chance he expands his role even further. So far the model has him with an elite per-route grade, so I am very intrigued to see if they give him a high-end route share, because he could become a Strong Buy because the model has him as a WR3 with an assumed 67% route share—getting that up to 80% will move him into WR2 territory, which I suspect happens over the next week or two.
George Kittle: Buy
So far Receiver Score has George Kittle as the top TE in the NFL on a per-route basis, but he’s only doing it in a limited role so far. The route share did improve from 47% to 56%, things are slowly ticking in the right direction. He’s a top-3 TE when healthy year after year, and I’m encouraged that the model believes he’s still in a position to perform very well. See if you can get him before the route share increases.
Buccaneers Receiver Score Fantasy Football Takeaways
Emeka Egbuka: Buy Low
Tampa Bay has used motion on 29 of Emeka Egbuka's 69 routes, and his 90% participation includes 18 quick-game routes and 13 in-breakers. Receiver Score still likes him as a WR2 this season with better days ahead. The deployment is great.
Chris Godwin: Buy
Chris Godwin was drafted as WR36, and the model still sees a WR3. The model has him at 25.2 expected points vs 15.6 actual. The role includes 90% participation, 19 quick-game routes and 20 in-breakers, exactly the mix that should help him earn catches underneath and across the middle.
Jalen McMillan: Watch
Jalen McMillan has barely played so far, so watch him. He might be their best man coverage beater, but the X role is not his most optimal role. If his knee gets right he could be good.
Ted Hurst: Fade
Ted Hurst didn’t really show much on his chances and the model thinks it’s Joever for this season.
Cade Otton: Fade
Cade Otton's per-route grade is BAD, so even with 84% route participation, he’s not worth much.
Titans Receiver Score Fantasy Football Takeaways
Wan'Dale Robinson: Neutral
Wan'Dale Robinson has 83% participation and is currently underperforming in expected targets per route run and expected fantasy points. The deployment isn’t great, but the model sees him as a low-end WR3 or high-end WR4. Most likely all of these Titans WRs are going to be roster cloggers.
Carnell Tate: Fade
Carnell Tate isn’t just getting deep-threat work - they are working him underneath as well, but no other fantasy football cheat codes as part of the deployment and it's a bad pass offense. If the offense does take a step forward, Tate would probably be the reason, but Receiver Score has him as a WR5.
Calvin Ridley: Fade
Calvin Ridley has one of the lowest ROS grades and is losing work to Elic Ayomanor, who is scoring well. I think this will be Ayomanor’s job soon. Do not roster Ridley.
Elic Ayomanor: Watch
Ayomanor is interesting—his per-route grade is good and his expected TPRR is 21.4%, which is playable for fantasy football. He looked bad as a rookie last season, but he was coming off a major injury. Maybe he found his footing and wins this X receiver job soon and elevates the offense. Someone to watch.
Gunnar Helm: Fade
Gunnar Helm has a 63% route participation on a bad passing offense—he’s a low-end TE2 unless we start seeing massive upticks in route share.
Commanders Receiver Score Fantasy Football Takeaways
Terry McLaurin: Neutral
Terry McLaurin is running a ton of in-breakers and leads the WRs in route participation by far. The team also likes to run 12 personnel, which boosts McLaurin’s implied target probability in those sets. He’s also one of the unluckiest in terms of expected points vs actual points. He grades out as a ROS WR3, but I think his role will be tougher to involve with Marcus Mariota at the helm compared to Jayden Daniels.
Stefon Diggs: Buy
Stefon Diggs has an elite per-route grade—but still hasn’t been a full-time receiver. The backward-looking per-route grade is WR10 overall. He’s primarily doing quick-game and in-breaking routes from the slot, though he’s only running 60% of the routes. Daniels' injury matters, but Diggs operates where it’s easier to get players the ball. The only thing holding Diggs back is his route share. If this team wants a chance to survive they will need to ramp him up. Even so he’s still the team’s best receiver in his limited role.
Antonio Williams: Watch
He grades out well in a small sample size, so we should watch in case of an injury.
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