Guillotine Leagues™️ Cheat Sheet For Week 10: Bench Jordan Love & Nico Collins?

Bring on Week 10! And then there were 10 who evaded the chopping block. Now try and keep the good times rolling—and not the heads—without Caleb Williams, D'Andre Swift and Bucky Irving. Can you survive without them on your roster through their bye week? Though if you don't have them, maybe you'll be bidding on them in a few days.

So to help you to keep surviving the chop in Guillotine Leagues™️, Matthew Freedman, Kendall Valenzuela and Pete Overzet got together for a round table discussion with several player recommendations for this week. Also, make sure to consult our fantasy football rankings, fantasy football projections and DvP Tool when setting your lineup. Happy Weel 10 chopping!

Week 10 Guillotine Leagues Cheat Sheet

Who do you like as a strong "RB floor play" in Week 10?

Freedman: Ollie Gordon (Dolphins) at Colts

Since No. 1 RB De'Von Achane (knee, IR) went down in Week 3, Gordon has been the lead back (12.6 fantasy points per game, 479 yards, 4 TDs on 104 carries, 10 targets), and he could see extra work this week if RB Jaylen Wright (quadriceps) remains out. The Dolphins are +3.5 road dogs now that QB Malik Willis (quad, IR) is out, and the Colts have a boosted HFA because they're outside division, on turf (vs. grass), and indoors (vs. outdoors). But on defense, the Colts are now without DT DeForest Buckner (traded), and they could additionally be without four starters in LBs Jaylon Carlies (neck) and Akeem Davis-Gaither (knee), CB Justin Walley (knee) and SS A.J. Haulcy (ankle). The Colts are No. 32 in defensive rush EPA (-0.020).

Via my Week 10 RB Favorites

Pete: Breece Hall (Jets) at Bills: We are so back with Hall. Sure, he played a season-low snaps (44%) and routes (26%), but he also logged a 14% target share and should see his role push back to what it was in Weeks 1-2 (62% snaps, 67% attempts, 39% routes, 12% targets, 58% short-yardage snaps, 85% 2-minute offense snaps). Against the Bills, Hall should catch enough balls to be a strong floor play.

Who do you like as a strong "WR floor play" in Week 10?

Freedman: Jakobi Meyers (Jaguars) at Titans: Meyers has been inconsistent week to week this season (11.2, 3.3, 15.9, 4.8, 4.7, 10.8, 3.4 and 8.5 fantasy points). But since the Week 7 bye, he and No. 1 WR Parker Washington have had equal usage (both have a 49 Utilization Score, per our Fantasy Life Utilization Report), and Meyers has had the superior underlying marks (29% air yard share, 33% end-zone target share vs. 19%, 0%). The setup isn't perfect: The Titans are coming off the bye, and this is the second straight road game for the Jags and their fifth away in seven weeks. But the Jags have three extra days off Thursday Night Football, they're week-best -10.5 favorites, and HC Liam Coen has crushed as a favorite (11-4 ATS, 41.3% ROI, per Action Network). In two games with the Jags against the Titans last year, Meyers was productive (12.6 fantasy points per game, 11-134-1 receiving, 12 targets), and the Titans could be without CB Marcus Harris (ankle), and they just traded away SS Amani Hooker. The Titans are No. 1 in largest fantasy boost allowed to WRs (+6.0).

Via my Week 10 WR Favorites

Pete: Jalen Coker (Panthers) at Saints. The Broncos kept Coker quiet last week, but he still has a 20% target share on the season and now gets a Saints defense giving up the 5th biggest boost to opposing WRs. He's a strong floor/ceiling play here.

Which "stud" are you considering benching in Week 10?

Freedman: Jordan Love (Packers) vs. Vikings: I love Love, etc., etc., but the matchup is brutal. In Week 1, Love did well enough against the Vikings (20.5 fantasy points, 387 yards passing, 2 TDs, 1 INT), but even then he was hit and miss (50.0% completion rate), and last year he massively underwhelmed against them in their one matchup (7.1 fantasy points, 139 yards passing, 0 TDs, 0 INTs with 3-15-0 rushing). After a modest start to the season in Weeks 1-4 (17.0 fantasy points per game, 56.5% completion rate, 6.9 AY/A), Love has been on fire since Week 5 (24.6 fantasy points per game, 1,577 yards passing, 11 TDs, 3 INTs with 6-31-2 rushing; 68.4% completion rate, 8.9 AY/A), and the Vikes have a one-day deficit off Monday Night Football. But the Packers will be without RB Josh Jacobs (finger) and maybe C Sean Rhyan (ankle) and RG Travis Glover (knee), and Love (a -5.5 home favorite) has been notably worse as a favorite throughout his career (16.2 fantasy points per game vs. 19.7 as an underdog). The Vikings are No. 1 in smallest fantasy boost allowed to QBs (-8.2).

Via my Week 10 QB Fades

Pete: Nico Collins (Texans) @ Browns. Nico is in that fantasy purgatory where you can't sit him and yet he's really likely to burn you. These are the Texans target shares since Marvin Harrison joined:

Yaaaa, that's a guy who is going to get you chopped sooner rather than later.

Who's the one guy who might not have a solid floor but who makes you say, "Screw it, I'm starting him anyway"?

Freedman: Tutu Atwell (Rams) at Cardinals: No. 1 WR Puka Nacua (knee) is out after exiting last week. No. 2 WR Davante Adams (hamstring, IR) is out, and reserve WR Jordan Whittington (back) just went on IR. That means the top WR for the Rams in this game might be Atwell, who has at least been involved in the offense as the No. 2 WR over the past two weeks (61% route rate, 24% air yard share, 38 Utilization Score). HC Sean McVay has historically done well in division (35-24-1 ATS, 14.4% ROI) and on the road (49-36-2 ATS, 11.8% ROI). The Rams are on their third road game in four weeks, but the Cards have had the No. 31 HFA over the past 16 games (-7.91, per NFElo). The Cardinals are No. 32 in defensive dropback EPA (0.284).

Via my Week 10 WR Favorites

Pete: Blake Corum (Rams) at Cardinals. I mean, what else are the Rams going to do? Throw the ball? As big favorites, this should mean huge workloads for both Corum and Kyren Williams. He moves from FLEX to RB2 territory in this machup.

Which player do you think will have the highest "chop rate" in Week 10?

Freedman: Brock Bowers (Raiders) vs. Seahawks: Since making his season debut in Week 3, Bowers has dominated (17.4 fantasy points per game, 48-658-6 receiving, 69 targets, 100 Utilization Score), and the Raiders have a fully amplified HFA because they're outside division and conference, on grass (vs. turf) and indoors (vs. outdoors). But the offense could struggle now that the team has traded veteran QB Kirk Cousins to make way for rookie Fernando Mendoza (the market moved against the Raiders from +3.5 to +6.5), and throughout his career Bowers has been at his best with Cousins (17.4 fantasy points per game vs. 12.1 with other QBs). Plus, the Seahawks are No. 3 in smallest fantasy boost allowed to TEs (-3.9).

Via my Week 10 TE Fades

Pete: Puka Nacua (Rams) at Cardinals. Live by the Puka, die by the Puka.